Figure 3
From: Anthropogenic mortality threatens the survival of Canarian houbara bustards
Simulated trajectories of the houbara bustard population of the Canary Islands (n = 577 individuals) over 50 years under two scenarios, natural mortality only or both natural and anthropogenic mortality. For each simulation, the exponential rate of increase (mean and SD), probability of extinction, final population size and mean genetic diversity (or expected heterozygosity) remaining in the extant population are given. The values for an extended simulation period of 100 years are also given. The mean time to first extinction under natural mortality only was 44.32 years (SD = 4.27). Supplementary Fig. S1 online shows simulations run independently for each of the two main islands (Lanzarote, Fuerteventura).
