Figure 2
From: Taiwan ended third COVID-19 community outbreak as forecasted

Evolution of the ratio of the 7-day moving mean of local & unknown confirmed to the 7-day moving mean of suspected cases and our forecast (black solid line) of the end of the third outbreak with the 95% confidence bounds (grey shaded area). The actual data of the three community outbreaks are marked in blue (1st), green (2nd), and red (3rd). The cases between in grey are not connected. The orange dash-dotted line is the 7-day moving average number of local and unknown confirmed cases, identical to the orange line in Fig. 1a.