Figure 2
From: Global warming significantly increases the risk of Pierce’s disease epidemics in European vineyards
Changes in Xf\(_{\text{PD}}\) and P. spumarius climatic suitability (i.e. probability of occurrence) under different climate projections compared to the current scenario (2003–2022). Current climatic suitability for the pathogen (a) and the vector (b). In an increasing temperature scenario (\(+\,2\,^{\circ }\hbox {C}\) , \(+\,3\,^{\circ }\hbox {C}\) and \(+\,4\,^{\circ }\hbox {C}\)) the climatic suitability for the pathogen geographically expands in southern Europe and moves northwards (c,e,g) while the climatic suitability for the vector decreases (d,f,h). The suitability values for each scenario correspond to a 20-year average.
