Figure 2
From: A Bayesian spatio-temporal model of COVID-19 spread in England

Summary of the estimated COVID-19 infection risk. The top panel displays boxplots of the logarithm of the estimated infection rates across all MSOAs over the 108 weeks, while the bottom panel compares the model’s average estimated rate on the log scale across mainland England (with 95% credible intervals represented by dashed lines) to the log of the average rate computed based on UK COVID-19 dashboard reported cases in weeks. The x-axis label “date” indicates the starting date of each observation week. Weeks of lockdown are highlighted in pink.