Table 2 Tuberculosis incidence and mortality rate ratios and avoidable cases and deaths.

From: Evaluating social protection mitigation effects on HIV/AIDS and Tuberculosis through a mathematical modelling study

Year

No social protection

Strong social protection

Rate ratio

95% CI

Rate ratio

95% CI

Incidence

2021

1.15

[1.11; 1.22]

0.997

[0.996; 0.998]

2025

1.17

[1.12; 1.25]

0.90

[0.87; 0.94]

2030

1.16

[1.10; 1.25]

0.88

[0.83; 0.92]

Avoidable cases (2020–2030)

120,960

[79,679; 182,898]

− 74,429

[51,224; 108,495]

 

Mortality

2021

1.14

[1.11; 1.20]

0.997

[0.996; 0.998]

2025

1.25

[1.18; 1.34]

0.85

[0.82; 0.89]

2030

1.22

[1.15; 1.31]

0.82

[0.78; 0.87]

Avoidable deaths (2020–2030)

9781

[7229; 13,382]

− 5627

[4331; 7412]

  1. Tuberculosis incidence and mortality rate ratios for specific years with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Avoidable Tuberculosis cases and deaths from 2020 to 2030 with 95% CI. Moderate social protection scenario as the reference category.
Back to article page