Table 4 Random forest results for the aggregate and separate forage models for livestock mortality in Marsabit County, Kenya.
From: Leveraging browse and grazing forage estimates to optimize index-based livestock insurance
Model | RMSE | R2 | Variables | Importance | RMSE | R2 | Variables | Importance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1) Aggregate mortality from drought and disease | 3) Cattle mortality from drought and disease | |||||||
Aggregate models | ||||||||
Aggregate NDVI | 9.33 | 0.59 | Aggregate NDVI | 19.9% | 13.41 | 0.61 | Aggregate NDVI | 16.8% |
Human Landscapes | 15.1% | Temperature | 13.8% | |||||
Temperature | 14.9% | Human Landscapes | 12.1% | |||||
Season | 14.8% | Seasonal Water | 12.1% | |||||
Seasonal Water | 14.1% | Season | 11.2% | |||||
Aggregate LAI | 9.30 | 0.60 | Aggregate LAI | 19.2% | 13.38 | 0.61 | Aggregate LAI | 16.7% |
Human Landscapes | 15.7% | Temperature | 13.5% | |||||
Temperature | 15.5% | Human Landscapes | 11.9% | |||||
Seasonal Water | 13.8% | Seasonal Water | 11.9% | |||||
Season | 13.4% | Season | 10.4% | |||||
Partitioned models | ||||||||
Partitioned LAI | 5.88 | 0.83 | Human Landscapes | 21.7% | 9.07 | 0.81 | Herbaceous LAI | 18.1% |
Temperature | 20.8% | Woody LAI | 17.3% | |||||
Seasonal Water | 19.9% | Temperature | 17.2% | |||||
Herbaceous LAI | 19.5% | Human Landscapes | 14.6% | |||||
Woody LAI | 19.5% | Seasonal Water | 12.4% | |||||
Season | 7.4% | Season | 0.5% | |||||
2) Camels mortality from drought and disease | 4) Shoats mortality from drought and disease | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate models | ||||||||
Aggregate NDVI | 6.08 | 0.75 | Temperature | 8.0% | 2.37 | 0.67 | Aggregate NDVI | 9.5% |
Aggregate NDVI | 6.4% | Temperature | 7.4% | |||||
Seasonal Water | 5.5% | Human Landscapes | 6.8% | |||||
Human Landscapes | 4.8% | Seasonal Water | 5.6% | |||||
Season | -1.2% | Season | 4.6% | |||||
Aggregate LAI | 6.03 | 0.76 | Temperature | 7.9% | 2.37 | 0.67 | Aggregate LAI | 7.3% |
Aggregate LAI | 6.8% | Temperature | 6.5% | |||||
Seasonal Water | 5.3% | Human Landscapes | 6.4% | |||||
Human Landscapes | 4.9% | Seasonal Water | 5.4% | |||||
Season | -1.5% | Season | 3.8% | |||||
Partitioned models | ||||||||
Partitioned LAI | 4.43 | 0.84 | Temperature | 12.4% | 1.65 | 0.82 | Human Landscapes | 9.8% |
Seasonal Water | 10.3% | Temperature | 9.3% | |||||
Human Landscapes | 7.6% | Woody LAI | 9.2% | |||||
Woody LAI | 7.3% | Herbaceous LAI | 8.5% | |||||
Herbaceous LAI | 6.8% | Seasonal Water | 6.8% | |||||
Season | -0.5% | Season | 4.5% | |||||
