Table 2 Comparison of ROC curves, sensitivities, and specificities among age categories.
From: Limits of pre-endoscopic scoring systems in geriatric patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding
Mortality | Composite outcome | Length of stay | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cut-off | AUROC | Sensitivity (%, 95% CI) | Specificity (%, 95% CI) | Cut-off | AUROC | Sensitivity (%, 95% CI) | Specificity (%, 95% CI) | Cut-off | AUROC | Sensitivity (%, 95% CI) | Specificity (%, 95% CI) | |
GBS | ||||||||||||
< 82 years | 13 | 0.73 (0.57–0.90) | 100.00 (15.81–100.00) | 58.46 (45.56–70.56) | 10 | 0.74 (0.54–0.93) | 89.5 (78.48–96.04) | 60.0 (26.24 -87.84) | 12 | 0.67 (0.54–0.80) | 68.42 (51.35–82.50) | 58.62 (38.94–76.48) |
≥ 82 years | 15 | 0.58 (0.31–0.84) | 57.14 (18.41–90.10) | 75.81 (63.26–85.78) | 13 | 0.71 (0.55–0.87) | 64.81 (50.62–77.32) | 66.67 (38.38–88.18) | 13 | 0.42 (0.28–0.56) | 56.10 (39.75–71.53) | 39.29 (21.50–59.42) |
mGBS | ||||||||||||
< 82 years | 11 | 0.76 (0.60–0.93) | 100.00 (15.81–100.00) | 61.54 (48.64–73.35) | 8 | 0.77 (0.59–0.95) | 89.47 (78.48–96.04) | 60.00 (26.24–87.84) | 10 | 0.70 (0.57–0.83) | 71.05 (54.10–84.58) | 62.07 (42.26–79.31) |
≥ 82 years | 13 | 0.62 (0.35–0.89) | 57.14 (18.41–90.10) | 80.65 (68.63–89.58) | 11 | 0.68 (0.50–0.85) | 64.81 (50.62–77.32) | 60.00 (32.29–83.66) | 11 | 0.39 (0.25–0.53) | 58.54 (42.11–73.68) | 39.29 (21.50–59.42) |
MAP (ASH) | ||||||||||||
< 82 years | 3 | 0.84 (0.51–1.00) | 100.00 (15.81–100.00) | 53.85 (41.03–66.30) | 2 | 0.70 (0.50–0.90) | 89.47 (78.48–96.04) | 50.0 (18.71–81.29) | 3 | 0.70 (0.58–0.83) | 63.16 (45.99–78.19) | 72.41 (52.76–87.27) |
≥ 82 years | 4 | 0.64 (0.41–0.88) | 57.14 (18.41–90.10) | 66.13 (52.99–77.67) | 3 | 0.64 (0.49–0.80) | 62.96 (48.74–75.71) | 53.33 (26.59–78.73) | 3 | 0.45 (0.30–0.58) | 58.54 (42.11–73.68) | 39.29 (21.50–59.42) |
CANUKA | ||||||||||||
< 82 years | 8 | 0.86 (0.70–1.00) | 100.00 (15.81–100.00) | 66.15 (53.35–77.43) | 6 | 0.78 (0.62–0.95) | 80.70 (68.09–89.95) | 70.00 (34.75–93.33) | 7 | 0.61 (0.47–0.74) | 63.16 (45.99–78.19) | 44.83 (26.45–64.31) |
≥ 82 years | 8 | 0.63 (0.39–0.86) | 42.86 (9.90–81.59) | 79.03 (66.82–88.34) | 8 | 0.65 (0.49–0.80) | 48.15 (34.34–62.16) | 73.33 (44.90–92.21) | 8 | 0.45 (0.32–0.59) | 43.90 (28.47–60.25) | 57.14 (37.18–75.54) |
T-score | ||||||||||||
< 82 years | 8 | 0.88 (0.77–0.99) | 100.00 (15.81–100.00) | 78.46 (66.51–87.69) | 10 | 0.82 (0.68–0.95) | 84.21 (72.13–92.52) | 70.00 (34.75–93.33) | 9 | 0.67 (0.54–0.80) | 71.05 (54.10–84.58) | 58.62 (38.94–76.48) |
≥ 82 years | 7 | 0.53 (0.27–0.75) | 28.57 (3.67–70.96) | 90.32 (80.12–96.37) | 9 | 0.75 (0.63–0.87) | 64.81 (50.62–77.32) | 73.33 (44.90–92.21) | 9 | 0.47 (0.33–0.62) | 58.54 (42.11–73.68) | 46.43 (27.51–66.13) |
AIMS65 | ||||||||||||
< 82 years | 1 | 0.87 (0.63–1.00) | 100.00 (15.81–100.00) | 53.85 (41.03–66.30) | 1 | 0.56 (0.39–0.72) | 49.12 (35.63–62.71) | 60.00 (26.24–87.84) | 1 | 0.63 (0.51–0.75) | 57.89 (40.82–73.69) | 65.52 (45.67–82.06) |
≥ 82 years | 1 | 0.63 (0.43–0.84) | 85.71 (42.13–99.64) | 35.48 (23.74–48.66) | 2 | 0.43 (0.28–0.57) | 18.52 (9.25–31.43) | 80.00 (51.91–95.67) | 1 | 0.43 (0.30–0.56) | 63.41 (46.94–77.88) | 28.57 (13.22–48.67) |
