Fig. 2
From: The value of environmental surveillance for pandemic response
ESS net monetary benefit as a function of R0 and NPI effectiveness. Notes: Dots indicate posterior mean estimates and lines cover 95% of the posterior predictive distribution. ESS net monetary benefit is a non-monotonic function of R0 (represented in different colors) and the maximum NPI effectiveness (i.e., the fraction of infectious contacts reduced by the maximum intervention level). The vertical dashed line represents the NPI effectiveness in our base-case scenario (see Supplementary Methods). Lines represent the average net monetary benefit of a 5-day early warning system, and shaded areas represent 95% prediction intervals computed over 1,000 stochastic replications.
