Table 1 Evaluation of model performance metrics.
Quarter | R | MAE | NMSE | RMSE | IOA | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(a) | ||||||
JFM | Prior Posterior | -0.02 0.75 | 1.04 0.27 | 7.68 0.20 | 1.30 0.53 | 0.34 0.86 |
AMJ | Prior Posterior | 0.31 0.84 | 1.02 0.32 | 5.88 0.12 | 1.22 0.45 | 0.39 0.90 |
JAS | Prior Posterior | 0.48 0.88 | 0.74 0.23 | 2.90 0.11 | 0.91 0.34 | 0.44 0.93 |
OND | Prior Posterior | 0.00 0.79 | 0.88 0.23 | 6.95 0.12 | 1.04 0.36 | 0.67 0.89 |
Annually | Prior Posterior | 0.32 0.73 | 0.92 0.25 | 1.00 0.09 | 4.07 0.35 | 0.35 0.84 |
(b) | ||||||
Annually | Prior Posterior | 0.50 0.66 | 1.17 0.83 | 1.46 0.24 | 1.67 0.37 | 0.54 0.74 |