Fig. 4

Failure Forecast method applied to landslide displacement time series measured from PlansetScope. (a) Hyperbolic and (b) inverse power law model applied retrospectively to landslide displacement at a representative area (location: 35.865425°, -121.429479°). The gray lines represent 500 samples from the posterior parameter distributions after Markov Chain Monte Carlo method (MCMC) sampling. (c) Precipitation rate and cumulative precipitation time series. Note that p is the exponent in Eq. (3).