Table 1 Quantitative evaluation of similarities between ensembles. (Mean ± standard deviation of MAE between 3SSP or 3 ensemble).
Mean absolute error (MAE) | Pearson correlation coefficient | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Climate model | IPSL-CM6A-LR | EC-Earth3 | ACCESS-CM2 | IPSL-CM6A-LR | EC-Earth3 | ACCESS-CM2 |
Comparison setting | ||||||
SSP5-RCP8.5, different ensemble runs, 1.5℃ | 0.15 ± 0.03 | 0.15 ± 0.02 | 0.18 ± 0.00 | 0.50 ± 0.18 | 0.58 ± 0.11 | 0.52 ± 0.03 |
different SSPs, different ensemble runs, 1.5℃ | 0.15 ± 0.03 | 0.14 ± 0.02 | 0.19 ± 0.00 | 0.50 ± 0.19 | 0.61 ± 0.10 | 0.49 ± 0.02 |
SSP5-RCP8.5, different ensemble runs, 2.0℃ | 0.22 ± 0.05 | 0.16 ± 0.02 | 0.20 ± 0.00 | 0.48 ± 0.23 | 0.65 ± 0.10 | 0.57 ± 0.02 |
different SSPs, different ensemble runs, 2.0℃ | 0.21 ± 0.05 | 0.16 ± 0.02 | 0.20 ± 0.00 | 0.49 ± 0.24 | 0.65 ± 0.09 | 0.58 ± 0.02 |
different SSPs, different ensemble runs, 1.5℃vs2.0℃ | 0.22 ± 0.03 | 0.17 ± 0.02 | 0.22 ± 0.01 | 0.40 ± 0.21 | 0.60 ± 0.07 | 0.49 ± 0.04 |
different SSPs, different ensemble runs, 1.5℃vs3.0℃ | 0.25 ± 0.02 | 0.22 ± 0.01 | 0.27 ± 0.02 | 0.38 ± 0.13 | 0.57 ± 0.04 | 0.42 ± 0.05 |
