Table 6 Model estimation results for principal arterial roads.
Variables | MNL | RPL | RPLHM | RPLHMV | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Coeff | t-stat | Coeff | t-stat | Coeff | t-stat | Coeff | t-stat | |
Environmental characteristics | ||||||||
Weekend (1 if crash happened on weekend, 0 if no) [BC] | 0.370 | 2.86 | 0.439 | 2.52 | 0.474 | 2.58 | 0.446 | 2.48 |
Dark with no streetlight (1 if yes, 0 if no) [KA] | 1.472 | 8.39 | 1.653 | 8.17 | 1.677 | 8.20 | 1.686 | 7.63 |
Dark with streetlights (1 if yes, 0 if no) [BC] | − 0.721 | − 6.03 | − 0.612 | − 2.58 | − 0.507 | − 1.85 | − 0.600 | − 2.65 |
St. dev. of dark with streetlight | – | – | 1.877 | 2.29 | 2.181 | 2.45 | 1.702 | 2.37 |
Crash Characteristics | ||||||||
Access control (1 if partial control, 0 if no) [KA] | 0.339 | 1.85 | 0.4519 | 2.03 | 0.465 | 1.99 | 0.478 | 2.02 |
Prior movement (1 if driver deviated from going straight, 0 if no) [KA] | − 0.391 | − 2.07 | − 0.542 | − 2.36 | − 0.529 | − 2.23 | − 0.504 | − 1.95 |
Single vehicle crash (1 if yes, 0 if no) [O] | − 1.006 | − 4.80 | − 1.208 | − 5.22 | − 1.206 | − 5.17 | − 1.191 | − 5.32 |
Lane departure (1 if yes, 0 if no) [BC] | 0.947 | 7.23 | 1.069 | 6.75 | 1.094 | 6.73 | 1.097 | 6.78 |
Roadway Characteristics | ||||||||
Mixed business and residential (1 if yes, 0 if no) [BC] | 0.243 | 2.13 | 0.604 | 2.25 | 0.626 | 2.18 | 0.651 | 2.36 |
St. dev. of mixed business and residential | – | – | 1.723 | 2.62 | 2.046 | 2.89 | 1.668 | 2.64 |
Residential (1 if yes, 0 if no) [BC] | 0.536 | 2.13 | 0.634 | 2.15 | 0.668 | 2.22 | 0.636 | 2.01 |
Two lanes undivided (1 if yes, 0 if no) [KA] | − 0.293 | − 2.46 | − 0.286 | − 1.97 | − 0.294 | − 1.95 | − 0.324 | − 2.11 |
No intersection (1 if crash occurred at segment, 0 if no) [O] | − 0.455 | − 2.17 | − 0.382 | − 1.74 | − 0.390 | − 1.76 | − 0.378 | − 1.73 |
Traffic signal light (1 if yes, 0 if no) [BC] | 0.235 | 1.65 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Pedestrian Condition and Characteristics | ||||||||
Pedestrian impaired with alcohol (1 if yes, 0 if no) [O] | − 1.864 | − 2.56 | − 2.007 | − 2.67 | − 2.184 | − 2.91 | − 2.172 | − 2.53 |
Pedestrian aged 15 to 24 years old (1 if yes, 0 if no) [KA] | − 0.726 | − 4.09 | − 0.775 | − 3.69 | − 0.533 | − 2.30 | − 0.530 | − 2.07 |
Inattentive or distracted pedestrian (1 if yes, 0 if no) [BC] | 0.554 | 3.98 | 0.704 | 3.88 | 0.686 | 3.64 | 0.725 | 3.85 |
Pedestrian with Black race (1 if yes, 0 if no) [O] | − 0.815 | − 3.74 | − 0.697 | − 2.90 | − 0.621 | − 2.56 | − 0.641 | − 2.86 |
Pedestrian with Caucasian race (1 if yes, 0 if no) [O] | − 0.660 | − 2.93 | − 0.505 | − 2.01 | − 0.434 | − 1.70 | − 0.474 | − 1.99 |
Pedestrian Actions | ||||||||
Pedestrian crossing a midblock (1 if yes, 0 if no) [BC] | − 0.405 | − 3.31 | − 0.468 | − 2.90 | − 0.430 | − 2.54 | − 0.461 | − 2.70 |
Driver’s Condition and Characteristics | ||||||||
Driver impaired with alcohol or drug (1 if yes, 0 if no) [KA] | 1.779 | 6.89 | 2.519 | 5.93 | 2.650 | 5.88 | 2.558 | 5.20 |
Driver aged over 64 years old (1 if yes, 0 if no) [KA] | − 0.477 | − 2.16 | − 0.612 | − 2.33 | − 0.645 | − 2.39 | − 0.594 | − 1.91 |
Inattentive or distracted driver (1 if yes, 0 if no) [BC] | 0.511 | 2.99 | 0.648 | 3.03 | 0.658 | 2.96 | 0.635 | 2.97 |
Driver with Black race (1 if yes, 0 if no) [KA] | 0.252 | 2.11 | 0.321 | 2.18 | 0.333 | 2.19 | 0.316 | 2.06 |
Passenger present (1 if yes, 0 if no) [O] | 0.587 | 2.18 | 0.577 | 2.00 | 0.569 | 1.96 | 0.574 | 1.92 |
Vehicle Type | ||||||||
Passenger car (1 if yes, 0 if no) [KA] | − 0.344 | − 2.87 | − 0.399 | − 2.75 | − 0.416 | − 2.78 | − 0.414 | − 2.61 |
Heterogeneity in mean, Parameter: Variable | ||||||||
Effect of rain on the mean of random parameter mixed business and residential area | – | – | – | – | − 1.046 | − 1.70 | − 1.224 | − 2.05 |
Effect of pedestrian aged 15 to 24 years on the mean of random parameter mixed business and residential area | – | – | – | – | 1.177 | 2.14 | 1.529 | 2.27 |
Effect of rain on the mean of random parameter dark with streetlight | – | – | – | – | 1.108 | 1.75 | 0.956 | 1.73 |
Effect of pedestrian impaired with alcohol on the mean of random parameter dark with streetlight | – | – | – | – | − 1.249 | − 2.43 | − 1.084 | − 2.37 |
Heteroscedasticity in random parameters | ||||||||
Effect of posted speed limit 40–45 mph on the variance of Location type mixed business and residential area | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.797 | 2.32 |
Statistics | ||||||||
Number of observations | 1,722 | |||||||
K | 24 | 25 | 29 | 30 | ||||
Log likelihood at convergence | − 1195.016 | − 1189.749 | − 1179.836 | − 1176.952 | ||||
Restricted log likelihood | − 1891.810 | − 1891.810 | − 1891.810 | − 1891.810 | ||||
McFadden Pseudo R-squared | 0.3683 | 0.3711 | 0.3763 | 0.3779 | ||||
AIC | 2438.0 | 2429.5 | 2417.7 | 2413.9 | ||||
AIC/N | 1.416 | 1.411 | 1.404 | 1.402 |