Table 4 The percentage predicted loss, gain, stable and unsuitable area of D. plexippus under three future scenarios, SPP1_2.6 and SSP5_8.5, of two general climate scenarios, BCC-CSM2MR and IPSL-CM6ALR, for the years 2021–2040, 2041–2060 and 2081–2100 compared to the current status.
From: Impact of climate change on the habitat range of monarch butterfly (Danaus plexippus)
GCM | Scenario | Period | (%) | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Loss | Unsuitable | Stable | Gain | |||
BCC-CSM2-MR | SSP1_2.6 | 2021–2040 | 0.21 | 50.15 | 48.11 | 1.54 |
2041–2060 | 0.11 | 47.54 | 48.21 | 4.15 | ||
2081–2100 | 0.35 | 50.09 | 47.96 | 1.59 | ||
SSP5_8.5 | 2021–2040 | 0.18 | 49.72 | 48.13 | 1.97 | |
2041–2060 | 0.21 | 47.23 | 48.11 | 4.46 | ||
2081–2100 | 0.77 | 48.27 | 47.55 | 3.41 | ||
IPSL-CM6A-LR | SSP1_2.6 | 2021–2040 | 0.13 | 50.03 | 48.19 | 1.65 |
2041–2060 | 0.16 | 49.68 | 48.15 | 2.01 | ||
2081–2100 | 0.16 | 49.54 | 48.16 | 2.14 | ||
SSP5_8.5 | 2021–2040 | 0.20 | 50.31 | 48.12 | 1.38 | |
2041–2060 | 0.27 | 49.27 | 48.04 | 2.41 | ||
2081–2100 | 4.05 | 49.74 | 44.27 | 1.94 |