Table 13 LSTM output: point predictions and 95% confidence intervals.

From: Benchmarking econometric, decomposable additive, and neural network methods for food inflation prediction featuring policy insights

Date

Actual

Predicted

Lower

Upper

7/1/2022

102.1946442

100.2888148

91.99056743

108.5870621

8/1/2022

106.1549818

101.2760305

92.97778316

109.5742778

9/1/2022

108.4295606

102.960249

94.66200163

111.2584963

10/1/2022

109.5115547

104.4553841

96.15713679

112.7536315

11/1/2022

107.8257959

107.7195601

99.42131278

116.0178074

12/1/2022

106.6631006

108.5880793

100.289832

116.8863266

1/1/2023

107.4222898

107.5543868

99.2561395

115.8526342

2/1/2023

108.2502246

106.3650503

98.066803

114.6632977

3/1/2023

110.0196735

106.6452186

98.34697131

114.943466

4/1/2023

111.26

107.3825128

99.08426549

115.6807602

5/1/2023

109.62

108.2508903

99.95264292

116.5491376

6/1/2023

112.25

109.4336806

101.1354333

117.731928

7/1/2023

112.74

110.6271149

102.3288676

118.9253623

8/1/2023

120.08

112.2874942

103.9892469

120.5857416

9/1/2023

122.47

115.0643008

106.7660535

123.3625481

10/1/2023

123.9

117.1501965

108.8519492

125.4484438

11/1/2023

120.04

120.5633351

112.2650878

128.8615825

12/1/2023

117.48

120.5120551

112.2138078

128.8103025

1/1/2024

118.3

120.0473007

111.7490534

128.3455481

2/1/2024

119.07

118.1768854

109.8786381

126.4751327

3/1/2024

121.5

117.2671438

108.9688964

125.5653911

4/1/2024

122.63

117.5790569

109.2808095

125.8773042

5/1/2024

121.42

119.43004

111.1317927

127.7282874

6/1/2024

123.94

121.7165327

113.4182854

130.0147801

7/1/2024

128.64

123.3400837

115.0418364

131.6383311

8/1/2024

133.72

125.5970417

117.2987943

133.895289

9/1/2024

135.21

128.1017337

119.8034864

136.399981

10/1/2024

139.58

131.2281257

122.9298784

139.526373

11/1/2024

136.61

133.9305541

125.6323067

142.2288014

12/1/2024

132.65

133.699881

125.4016337

141.9981284

1/1/2025

130.97

132.9964578

124.6982105

141.2947052

2/1/2025

130.08

131.0573019

122.7590546

139.3555492

3/1/2025

132.35

129.8685388

121.5702915

138.1667862