Skip to main content

Thank you for visiting nature.com. You are using a browser version with limited support for CSS. To obtain the best experience, we recommend you use a more up to date browser (or turn off compatibility mode in Internet Explorer). In the meantime, to ensure continued support, we are displaying the site without styles and JavaScript.

Advertisement

Scientific Reports
  • View all journals
  • Search
  • My Account Login
  • Content Explore content
  • About the journal
  • Publish with us
  • Sign up for alerts
  • RSS feed
  1. nature
  2. scientific reports
  3. articles
  4. article
The digital transformation, corporate uncertainty, and CEO risk preference
Download PDF
Download PDF
  • Article
  • Open access
  • Published: 16 February 2026

The digital transformation, corporate uncertainty, and CEO risk preference

  • Xianjun Bao1,
  • Minghui Lan2,
  • Nan Li3 &
  • …
  • Yudi Zhao3 

Scientific Reports , Article number:  (2026) Cite this article

  • 392 Accesses

  • Metrics details

We are providing an unedited version of this manuscript to give early access to its findings. Before final publication, the manuscript will undergo further editing. Please note there may be errors present which affect the content, and all legal disclaimers apply.

Subjects

  • Business and management
  • Information systems and information technology

Abstract

Using a text-mining–based measure of digital transformation and multiple behavioral proxies of CEO risk preference for a large sample of Chinese listed firms from 2015 to 2023, we provide systematic empirical evidence that digital transformation significantly increases CEO risk aversion. Mechanism analysis shows that the reduction of firm-level uncertainty induced by digital transformation is a key channel through which CEO risk preference is suppressed. Furthermore, heterogeneity tests reveal that the behavioral effects of digital transformation vary with CEO demographic and professional attributes—such as age, tenure, compensation incentives, and technological background—as well as firm characteristics. These findings contribute to the literature on digital transformation and executive behavior by demonstrating that technological change not only restructures organizational processes but also shapes managerial risk tendencies, offering new insights into the behavioral micro-foundations of digital transformation.

Similar content being viewed by others

A study on the influencing factors of corporate digital transformation: empirical evidence from Chinese listed companies

Article Open access 15 March 2024

Impact of CEO’s scientific research background on the enterprise digital level

Article Open access 25 June 2024

Mixed ownership reform and digitalisation

Article Open access 03 March 2025

Data availability

The raw data used in this study were obtained from the Chinese Research Data Services Platform (CNRDS) (https://www.cnrds.com) under a subscription/license and are not publicly available. The minimal dataset required to reproduce the main results are publicly available at Zenodo (DOI: [https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18484296]).

References

  1. Baumol, W. J. Entrepreneurship in economic theory. Am. Econ. Rev. 58(2), 64–71 (1968).

    Google Scholar 

  2. Callahan, G. Economics for real people 2nd edn. (Ludwig von Mises Institute, 2004).

    Google Scholar 

  3. Hébert, R. F. & Link, A. N. In search of the meaning of entrepreneurship. Small Bus. Econ. 1, 39–49 (1989).

    Google Scholar 

  4. Wennekers, S. & Thurik, R. Linking entrepreneurship and economic growth. Small Bus. Econ. 13(1), 27–56 (1999).

    Google Scholar 

  5. Baumol, W. J. Entrepreneurship, management, and the structure of payoffs (The MIT Press, 1993).

    Google Scholar 

  6. Kirzner, I. M. Competition and entrepreneurship (University of Chicago press, 1973).

    Google Scholar 

  7. Hébert, R. F. & Link, A. N. A History of Entrepreneurship (Routledge, 2009).

    Google Scholar 

  8. Landes, D. S., Mokyr, J. & Baumol, W. J. The invention of enterprise: Entrepreneurship from ancient Mesopotamia to modern times (Princeton University Press, 2012).

    Google Scholar 

  9. Schumpeter, J. A. The theory of economic development (Harvard University Press, 1934).

    Google Scholar 

  10. Hayek, F. A. Individualism and economic order (University of Chicago Press, 1948).

    Google Scholar 

  11. Kirzner, I. M. The alert and creative entrepreneur: A clarification. Small Bus. Econ. 32(2), 145–152 (2009).

    Google Scholar 

  12. Cronqvist, H., Makhija, A. K. & Yonker, S. E. Behavioral consistency in corporate finance: CEO personal and corporate leverage. J. Financ. Econ. 103(1), 20–40 (2012).

    Google Scholar 

  13. Cain, M. D. & McKeon, S. B. CEO personal risk-taking and corporate policies. J. Financ. Quant. Anal. 51(1), 139–164 (2016).

    Google Scholar 

  14. Faccio, M., Marchica, M. T. & Mura, R. CEO gender, corporate risk-taking, and the efficiency of capital allocation. J. Corp. Financ. 39, 193–209 (2016).

    Google Scholar 

  15. Nambisan, S. et al. Digital innovation management: Reinventing innovation management research in a digital world. MIS Q. 41(1), 223–238 (2017).

    Google Scholar 

  16. Nambisan, S., Wright, M. & Feldman, M. The digital transformation of innovation and entrepreneurship: Progress, challenges and key themes. Res. Policy 48(8), 103773 (2019).

    Google Scholar 

  17. Nambisan, S. Digital entrepreneurship: Toward a digital technology perspective of entrepreneurship. Entrep. Theory Pract. 41(6), 1029–1055 (2017).

    Google Scholar 

  18. Matarazzo, M. et al. Digital transformation and customer value creation in Made in Italy SMEs: A dynamic capabilities perspective. J. Bus. Res. 123, 642–656 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  19. Simsek, Z. et al. Leading digital transformation in incumbent firms: A strategic entrepreneurship framing. Strateg. Entrep. J. 18(1), 91–102 (2024).

    Google Scholar 

  20. Singh, S. K. et al. Top management knowledge value, knowledge sharing practices, open innovation and organizational performance. J. Bus. Res. 128, 788–798 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  21. Siachou, E., Vrontis, D. & Trichina, E. Can traditional organizations be digitally transformed by themselves? The moderating role of absorptive capacity and strategic interdependence. J. Bus. Res. 124, 408–421 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  22. Nayal, K. et al. The impact of sustainable development strategy on sustainable supply chain firm performance in the digital transformation era. Bus. Strateg. Environ. 31(3), 845–859 (2022).

    Google Scholar 

  23. Belitski, M., Delgado-Márquez, B. L. & Pedauga, L. E. Your innovation or mine? The effects of partner diversity on product and process innovation. J. Prod. Innov. Manag. 41(1), 112–137 (2024).

    Google Scholar 

  24. Chen, H. & Tian, Z. Environmental uncertainty, resource orchestration and digital transformation: A fuzzy-set QCA approach. J. Bus. Res. 139, 184–193 (2022).

    Google Scholar 

  25. Singh, S., Sharma, M. & Dhir, S. Modeling the effects of digital transformation in Indian manufacturing industry. Technol. Soc. 67, 101763 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  26. Faccio, M., Marchica, M. T. & Mura, R. Large shareholder diversification and corporate risk-taking. Rev. Financ. Stud. 24(11), 3601–3641 (2011).

    Google Scholar 

  27. Su, K., Liu, H. & Zhang, H. Board size, social trust, and corporate risk taking: Evidence from China. Manager. Decis. Econ. 40(6), 596–609 (2019).

    Google Scholar 

  28. Dittmann, I., Yu, K. C. & Zhang, D. How important are risk-taking incentives in executive compensation?. Rev. Finance 21(5), 1805–1846 (2017).

    Google Scholar 

  29. Chen, Y., Truong, C. & Veeraraghavan, M. CEO risk-taking incentives and the cost of equity capital. J. Bus. Finance Account. 42(7–8), 915–946 (2015).

    Google Scholar 

  30. Hu, Y., Li, W. & Zhang, A. Political promotion incentives and firm risk: Evidence from state-owned enterprises in China. Emerg. Mark. Finance Trade 59(1), 156–169 (2023).

    Google Scholar 

  31. Yang, D. Evaluation of enterprise financial risk level under digital transformation with artificial neural network. Secur. Commun. Netw. 2022, 1882100 (2022).

    Google Scholar 

  32. Pizzi, S. et al. Assessing the impacts of digital transformation on internal auditing: A bibliometric analysis. Technol. Soc. 67, 101738 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  33. Bamberger, K. A. Technologies of compliance: Risk and regulation in a digital age. Tex. L. Rev. 88, 669 (2009).

    Google Scholar 

  34. Sawhney, M. & Prandelli, E. Communities of creation: Managing distributed innovation in turbulent markets. Calif. Manage. Rev. 42(4), 24–54 (2000).

    Google Scholar 

  35. Kornberger, M. The visible hand and the crowd: Analyzing organization design in distributed innovation systems. Strateg. Organ. 15(2), 174–193 (2017).

    Google Scholar 

  36. Stohl, C., Stohl, M. & Leonardi, P. M. Digital age managing opacity: Information visibility and the paradox of transparency in the digital age. Int. J. Commun. 10(15), 123–137 (2016).

    Google Scholar 

  37. Warren, J. D., Moffitt, K. C. & Byrnes, P. How big data will change accounting. Account. Horiz. 29(2), 397–407 (2015).

    Google Scholar 

  38. Verhoef, P. C. et al. Digital transformation: A multidisciplinary reflection and research agenda. J. Bus. Res. 122(1), 889–901 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  39. Min, H. Artificial intelligence in supply chain management: Theory and applications. Int. J. Logist. Res. Appl. 13(1), 13–39 (2010).

    Google Scholar 

  40. Li, F. Annual report readability, current earnings, and earnings persistence. J. Account. Econ. 45(2–3), 221–247 (2008).

    Google Scholar 

  41. Merkley, K. J. Narrative disclosure and earnings performance: Evidence from R&D disclosures. Account. Rev. 89(2), 725–757 (2014).

    Google Scholar 

  42. Lateef, A. & Omotayo, F. O. Information audit as an important tool in organizational management: A review of literature. Bus. Inf. Rev. 36(1), 15–22 (2019).

    Google Scholar 

  43. Kahneman, D. Attention and Effort (Prentice Hall, 1973).

    Google Scholar 

  44. Hirshleifer, D., Lim, S. S. & Teoh, S. H. Driven to distraction: Extraneous events and underreaction to earnings news. J. Finance 64(5), 2289–2325 (2009).

    Google Scholar 

  45. Vial, G. Understanding digital transformation: A review and a research agenda. J. Strateg. Inf. Syst. 28(2), 118–144 (2019).

    Google Scholar 

  46. Qi, Y. & Cai, C. The multiple effects and mechanism of digitalization on the performance of manufacturing enterprises. Study Explor. 7, 108–119 (2020).

    Google Scholar 

  47. Shihui, L. et al. Audit fees, CEO risk preference, and corporate misconduct. Audit Res. 03, 84–95 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  48. Hassan, T. A., Hollander, S., Van Lent, L. & Tahoun, A. Firm-level political risk: Measurement and effects. Q. J. Econ. 134(4), 2135–2202 (2019).

    Google Scholar 

  49. Moser, P. & Voena, A. Compulsory licensing: Evidence from the trading with the Enemy act. Am. Econ. Rev. 102(1), 396–427 (2012).

    Google Scholar 

  50. Yu, Z., Xiao, Y. & Li, J. Firm-level perception of uncertainty and innovation activity: Textual evidence from China’s A-share market. Pac. Basin Financ. J. 68, 101555 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  51. Baker, S. R., Bloom, N. & Davis, S. J. Measuring economic policy uncertainty. Q. J. Econ. 131(4), 1593–1636 (2016).

    Google Scholar 

  52. Hassan, T. A. et al. Firm-level political risk: Measurement and effects. Q. J. Econ. 134(4), 2135–2202 (2019).

    Google Scholar 

  53. Kaplan, S. Research in cognition and strategy: Reflections on two decades of progress and a look to the future. J. Manage. Stud. 48(3), 665–695 (2011).

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Funding

The author(s) reported that there is no funding associated with the work featured in this article.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Asia Australia Business College, Liaoning University, Shenyang, China

    Xianjun Bao

  2. The Institute for Economic System and Management, Chinese Academy of Macroeconomic Research, Beijing, China

    Minghui Lan

  3. Business School, The Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing, China

    Nan Li & Yudi Zhao

Authors
  1. Xianjun Bao
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

  2. Minghui Lan
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

  3. Nan Li
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

  4. Yudi Zhao
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

Contributions

Xianjun Bao: Formal analysis, Conceptualization, Methodology, Project administration, Writing—review & editing. Nan Li: Funding acquisition,Validation, Visualization. Minghui Lan: Supervision, Software, Resources, Investigation. Yudi Zhao: Data curation, Writing—original draft.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Nan Li.

Ethics declarations

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

Additional information

Publisher’s note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Supplementary Information

Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.

Supplementary Material 1

Supplementary Material 2

Rights and permissions

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License, which permits any non-commercial use, sharing, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if you modified the licensed material. You do not have permission under this licence to share adapted material derived from this article or parts of it. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Bao, X., Lan, M., Li, N. et al. The digital transformation, corporate uncertainty, and CEO risk preference. Sci Rep (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-40064-x

Download citation

  • Received: 25 November 2025

  • Accepted: 10 February 2026

  • Published: 16 February 2026

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-40064-x

Share this article

Anyone you share the following link with will be able to read this content:

Sorry, a shareable link is not currently available for this article.

Provided by the Springer Nature SharedIt content-sharing initiative

Keywords

  • Digital transformation
  • CEO
  • Risk preference
  • Risk aversion
Download PDF

Advertisement

Explore content

  • Research articles
  • News & Comment
  • Collections
  • Subjects
  • Follow us on Facebook
  • Follow us on X
  • Sign up for alerts
  • RSS feed

About the journal

  • About Scientific Reports
  • Contact
  • Journal policies
  • Guide to referees
  • Calls for Papers
  • Editor's Choice
  • Journal highlights
  • Open Access Fees and Funding

Publish with us

  • For authors
  • Language editing services
  • Open access funding
  • Submit manuscript

Search

Advanced search

Quick links

  • Explore articles by subject
  • Find a job
  • Guide to authors
  • Editorial policies

Scientific Reports (Sci Rep)

ISSN 2045-2322 (online)

nature.com sitemap

About Nature Portfolio

  • About us
  • Press releases
  • Press office
  • Contact us

Discover content

  • Journals A-Z
  • Articles by subject
  • protocols.io
  • Nature Index

Publishing policies

  • Nature portfolio policies
  • Open access

Author & Researcher services

  • Reprints & permissions
  • Research data
  • Language editing
  • Scientific editing
  • Nature Masterclasses
  • Research Solutions

Libraries & institutions

  • Librarian service & tools
  • Librarian portal
  • Open research
  • Recommend to library

Advertising & partnerships

  • Advertising
  • Partnerships & Services
  • Media kits
  • Branded content

Professional development

  • Nature Awards
  • Nature Careers
  • Nature Conferences

Regional websites

  • Nature Africa
  • Nature China
  • Nature India
  • Nature Japan
  • Nature Middle East
  • Privacy Policy
  • Use of cookies
  • Legal notice
  • Accessibility statement
  • Terms & Conditions
  • Your US state privacy rights
Springer Nature

© 2026 Springer Nature Limited

Nature Briefing

Sign up for the Nature Briefing newsletter — what matters in science, free to your inbox daily.

Get the most important science stories of the day, free in your inbox. Sign up for Nature Briefing