Table 7 Summary of simulation results for Shanghai under each scenario.
Time (Year) | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GDP (billion) | I | 38,339 | 40,411 | 42,171 | 43,585 | 44,616 | 45,235 | 45,418 |
II | 38,886 | 41,138 | 43,110 | 44,762 | 46,054 | 46,954 | 47,451 | |
III | 38,339 | 40,411 | 42,170 | 43,580 | 44,609 | 45,229 | 45,409 | |
IV | 38,339 | 40,411 | 42,172 | 43,589 | 44,629 | 45,286 | 45,524 | |
V | 37,807 | 39,573 | 40,885 | 41,666 | 41,835 | 41,316 | 40,039 | |
VI | 38,978 | 41,203 | 43,099 | 44,604 | 45,665 | 46,234 | 46,276 | |
Total energy consumption (million tons of standard coal) | I | 11,952 | 12,022 | 12,186 | 12,334 | 12,465 | 12,572 | 12,661 |
II | 11,974 | 12,247 | 12,539 | 12,833 | 13,122 | 13,398 | 13,655 | |
III | 11,952 | 12,022 | 12,186 | 12,334 | 12,465 | 12,572 | 12,660 | |
IV | 11,952 | 12,012 | 12,165 | 12,304 | 12,424 | 12,523 | 12,603 | |
V | 11,931 | 11,990 | 12,133 | 12,253 | 12,342 | 12,393 | 12,407 | |
VI | 11,978 | 12,239 | 12,518 | 12,794 | 13,058 | 13,301 | 13,514 | |
Carbon emissions (million tons) | I | 26,750 | 26,801 | 27,035 | 27,207 | 27,310 | 26,970 | 26,924 |
II | 26,798 | 27,302 | 27,820 | 28,309 | 27,984 | 27,965 | 28,256 | |
III | 26,750 | 26,847 | 27,115 | 27,310 | 27,058 | 27,081 | 27,021 | |
IV | 26,750 | 26,778 | 26,989 | 26,776 | 26,493 | 26,499 | 26,438 | |
V | 26,703 | 26,728 | 26,918 | 27,026 | 27,041 | 26,945 | 26,741 | |
VI | 26,806 | 27,332 | 27,856 | 27,952 | 27,582 | 27,103 | 26,503 | |
Carbon intensity (Tons / million yuan) | I | 0.6977 | 0.6632 | 0.6411 | 0.6242 | 0.6121 | 0.5962 | 0.5928 |
II | 0.6891 | 0.6637 | 0.6453 | 0.6324 | 0.6076 | 0.5956 | 0.5955 | |
III | 0.6977 | 0.6644 | 0.6430 | 0.6267 | 0.6066 | 0.5988 | 0.5951 | |
IV | 0.6977 | 0.6627 | 0.6400 | 0.6143 | 0.5936 | 0.5851 | 0.5807 | |
V | 0.7063 | 0.6754 | 0.6584 | 0.6486 | 0.6464 | 0.6522 | 0.6679 | |
VI | 0.6877 | 0.6634 | 0.6463 | 0.6267 | 0.6040 | 0.5862 | 0.5727 | |
Carbon emissions costs (billion) | I | 141 | 156 | 175 | 193 | 210 | 220 | 234 |
II | 141 | 163 | 186 | 210 | 222 | 238 | 261 | |
III | 141 | 157 | 176 | 194 | 206 | 222 | 236 | |
IV | 141 | 156 | 174 | 186 | 196 | 211 | 225 | |
V | 191 | 227 | 268 | 308 | 346 | 381 | 413 | |
VI | 170 | 211 | 255 | 292 | 319 | 341 | 357 |