Table 3 Estimation results for ordinary trade and processing trade.

From: The COVID-19 pandemics and import demand elasticities: evidence from China’s customs data

 

Ordinary Trade

Processing Trade

Monthly: 2019m1 to 2021m3

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

 

Y= Δ ln v

Y= Δ ln uv

Y= Δ ln q

Y= Δ ln v

Y= Δ ln uv

Y= Δ ln q

Δ ln RER_CNY

1.609*** (0.345)

0.0137 (0.097)

1.589*** (0.387)

2.979*** (0.279)

−0.194 (0.153)

3.203*** (0.231)

Δ ln RER_CNY × Policy

−2.754*** (0.690)

−0.292 (0.199)

−2.499*** (0.842)

−4.816*** (0.936)

0.157 (0.293)

−5.016*** (0.808)

Δ ln RER_CNY × HHI

0.307 (0.455)

0.0574 (0.161)

0.291 (0.431)

0.542* (0.275)

0.0975 (0.132)

0.381* (0.211)

Δ ln RER_Comp

0.143*** (0.012)

0.0124*** (0.002)

0.128*** (0.012)

0.0698*** (0.007)

0.0105*** (0.003)

0.0576*** (0.008)

Δ ln RER_Comp × Policy

−0.0251** (0.010)

−0.00514 (0.003)

−0.0194* (0.010)

−0.0352*** (0.010)

−0.000386 (0.003)

−0.0373*** (0.010)

Δ ln RER_Comp× HHI

−0.106*** (0.010)

−0.00806*** (0.002)

−0.0998*** (0.009)

−0.0653*** (0.009)

−0.0121** (0.004)

−0.0490*** (0.010)

Δ ln Cases in exporting country

−0.0147*** (0.005)

0.00371* (0.002)

−0.0181*** (0.004)

−0.0116** (0.005)

0.00520*** (0.0007)

−0.0171*** (0.005)

Constant

−0.208*** (0.013)

−0.0183*** (0.005)

−0.165*** (0.013)

−0.178*** (0.016)

−0.0133** (0.006)

−0.153*** (0.014)

Controls

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Province-time FE

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Province-product-country FE

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Time FE

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

N

1276121

1226051

1226054

580896

567005

567006

R2

0.070

0.052

0.065

0.067

0.032

0.064

Prob > F-statistic

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

  1. Note: Columns (1)-(3) use samples of ordinary trade, and Columns (4)-(6) use samples of processing trade, including both the PA mode and the PI mode. We employ the Chinese customs data on China’s imports, which contain information regarding different Asian countries’ exports to different Chinese provinces. An increase in ΔlnRER_Comp implies a real appreciation of competitors’ currencies, and an increase in ΔlnRER_CNY implies a real depreciation of RMB against that one Asian trading partner’s currency (bilateral). A larger HHI implies a higher degree of market concentration for Asian economies in exporting to China. *, **, *** indicate variables significant at 10%, 5%, and 1% level respectively. Clustered standard errors at provincial level are reported in parenthesis.