Table 4 Estimation results for two types of processing trade.

From: The COVID-19 pandemics and import demand elasticities: evidence from China’s customs data

Processing trade

PI mode

PA mode

Monthly: 2019m1 to 2021m3

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

 

Y= Δ ln v

Y= Δ ln uv

Y= Δ ln q

Y= Δ ln v

Y= Δ ln uv

Y= Δ ln q

Δ ln RER_CNY

3.021*** (0.329)

−0.0269 (0.191)

3.210*** (0.311)

3.950*** (0.554)

−0.804** (0.305)

4.303*** (0.369)

Δ ln RER_CNY × Policy

−4.865*** (1.027)

0.0248 (0.267)

−5.035*** (0.983)

−4.283** (1.651)

0.485 (0.664)

−4.272** (1.605)

Δ ln RER_CNY × HHI

0.215 (0.383)

−0.186 (0.208)

0.104 (0.337)

−0.517 (0.606)

1.052*** (0.373)

−1.134** (0.522)

Δ ln RER_Comp

0.0772*** (0.008)

0.00792 (0.005)

0.0669*** (0.008)

0.0735*** (0.022)

0.0202*** (0.006)

0.0493** (0.021)

Δ ln RER_Comp × Policy

−0.0284*** (0.009)

0.00346 (0.004)

−0.0352*** (0.007)

−0.0568* (0.030)

−0.0108** (0.004)

−0.0438 (0.028)

Δ ln RER_Comp× HHI

−0.0681*** (0.013)

−0.0112* (0.006)

−0.0523*** (0.011)

−0.0660*** (0.019)

−0.0183** (0.008)

−0.0415** (0.020)

Δ ln Cases in exporting country

−0.0133*** (0.003)

0.00473*** (0.001)

−0.0178*** (0.004)

−0.00630 (0.014)

0.00757* (0.004)

−0.0165 (0.013)

Constant

−0.250*** (0.018)

−0.00633 (0.008)

−0.220*** (0.017)

−0.337*** (0.051)

−0.0357*** (0.010)

−0.276*** (0.051)

Controls

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Province-time FE

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Province-product-country FE

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Time FE

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

N

446603

435644

435645

134293

131361

131361

R2

0.074

0.037

0.069

0.095

0.047

0.090

Prob > F-statistic

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

  1. Note: Columns (1)-(3) use samples of the PI mode, and Columns (4)-(6) use samples of the PA mode. We employ the Chinese customs data on China’s imports, which contain information regarding different Asian countries’ exports to different Chinese provinces. An increase in ΔlnRER_Comp implies a real appreciation of competitors’ currencies, and an increase in ΔlnRER_CNY implies a real depreciation of RMB against that one Asian trading partner’s currency (bilateral). A larger HHI implies a higher degree of market concentration for Asian economies in exporting to China. *, **, *** indicate variables significant at 10%, 5%, and 1% level respectively. Clustered standard errors at provincial level are reported in parenthesis.