Table 10 Robustness evaluation of the multinomial logistic model estimated on the commute time groups.

From: Tracing long-term commute mode choice shifts in Beijing: four years after the COVID-19 pandemic

Commute mode switch

Sample group

Baseline model

Alternative model 1: without seasonal fixed effect

Alternative model 2: resampled by gender-age

Alternative model 3: resampled by affluence index

\({\rm{Exp}}\left({\hat{\mu }}_{0}\right)\)

P-v.

\({\rm{Exp}}\left({\hat{\mu }}_{0}\right)\)

P-v.

\({\rm{Exp}}\left({\hat{\mu }}_{0}\right)\)

P-v.

\({\rm{Exp}}\left({\hat{\mu }}_{0}\right)\)

P-v.

Private car (base) → Public transit

S

0.664

0.000

0.613

0.000

0.670

0.000

0.759

0.000

L

0.559

0.000

0.461

0.000

0.526

0.000

0.569

0.000

\({\rm{Exp}}\left({\hat{\mu }}_{0}\right)\)

\(S\, >\, L\)

\(S\, >\, L\)

\(S\, >\, L\)

\(S\, >\, L\)

Private car (base) → Active travel

S

1.774

0.000

1.307

0.000

1.726

0.000

1.615

0.002

L

1.227

0.579

1.244

0.495

0.799

0.714

  

\({\rm{Exp}}\left({\hat{\mu }}_{0}\right)\)

\(S\, >\, L\)

\(S\, >\, L\)

\(S\, >\, L\)

 

Public transit (base) → Private car

S

4.479

0.000

3.952

0.000

4.549

0.000

3.464

0.000

L

5.894

0.000

5.308

0.000

6.364

0.000

5.694

0.000

\({\rm{Exp}}\left({\hat{\mu }}_{0}\right)\)

\(S\, <\, L\)

\(S\, <\, L\)

\(S\, <\, L\)

\(S\, <\, L\)

Public transit (base) → Active travel

S

3.457

0.000

2.818

0.000

3.577

0.000

2.452

0.000

L

2.956

0.000

2.212

0.000

2.932

0.000

1.373

0.642

\({\rm{Exp}}\left({\hat{\mu }}_{0}\right)\)

\(S\, >\, L\)

\(S\, >\, L\)

\(S\, >\, L\)

\(S\, >\, L\)

Active travel (base) → Private car

S

1.171

0.020

0.928

0.192

1.051

0.635

1.011

0.962

L

1.565

0.000

1.117

0.036

1.517

0.000

1.666

0.019

\({\rm{Exp}}\left({\hat{\mu }}_{0}\right)\)

\(S\, <\, L\)

\(S\, <\, L\)

\(S\, <\, L\)

\(S\, <\, L\)

Active travel (base) → Public transit

S

0.931

0.240

0.793

0.000

0.963

0.688

1.372

0.076

L

0.858

0.000

0.779

0.000

0.784

0.000

0.879

0.353

\({\rm{Exp}}\left({\hat{\mu }}_{0}\right)\)

\(S\, >\, L\)

\(S\, >\, L\)

\(S\, >\, L\)

 
  1. “S” represents short-commute group, and “L” represents long-commute group. In the public-transit-based alternative model 3 for the long-commute group, control variable affluence index was further recategorized into four categories to ensure convergence. In the private-car-based alternative model 3 for the long-commute group, coefficients were not estimated for mode switch behavior from private car to active travel due to a lack of observations after resampling.