Table 8 Robustness evaluation of the multinomial logistic model estimated on the whole sample.
From: Tracing long-term commute mode choice shifts in Beijing: four years after the COVID-19 pandemic
Commute mode switch | Phase | Baseline model | Alternative model 1: without seasonal fixed effect | Alternative model 2: resampled by gender-age | Alternative model 3: resampled by affluence index | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
\({\rm{Exp}}\left({\hat{\mu }}_{j}\right)\) | P-v. | \({\rm{Exp}}\left({\hat{\mu }}_{j}\right)\) | P-v. | \({\rm{Exp}}\left({\hat{\mu }}_{j}\right)\) | P-v. | \({\rm{Exp}}\left({\hat{\mu }}_{j}\right)\) | P-v. | ||
Private car (base) → Public transit | \({t}_{0}\) | 0.625 | 0.000 | 0.545 | 0.000 | 0.615 | 0.000 | 0.683 | 0.000 |
\({t}_{1}\) | 1.990 | 0.000 | 2.181 | 0.000 | 1.978 | 0.000 | 1.676 | 0.000 | |
\({t}_{7}\) | 0.537 | 0.000 | 0.588 | 0.000 | 0.535 | 0.000 | 0.544 | 0.000 | |
Private car (base) → Active travel | \({t}_{0}\) | 1.778 | 0.000 | 1.304 | 0.000 | 1.718 | 0.000 | 1.590 | 0.003 |
\({t}_{1}\) | 0.920 | 0.071 | 1.111 | 0.016 | 0.987 | 0.857 | 0.852 | 0.297 | |
\({t}_{7}\) | 1.275 | 0.000 | 1.541 | 0.000 | 1.386 | 0.000 | 1.304 | 0.009 | |
Public transit (base) → Private car | \({t}_{0}\) | 5.108 | 0.000 | 4.548 | 0.000 | 5.329 | 0.000 | 4.324 | 0.000 |
\({t}_{1}\) | 0.735 | 0.000 | 0.796 | 0.000 | 0.720 | 0.000 | 0.740 | 0.000 | |
\({t}_{7}\) | 1.376 | 0.000 | 1.489 | 0.000 | 1.407 | 0.000 | 1.429 | 0.000 | |
Public transit (base) → Active travel | \({t}_{0}\) | 3.748 | 0.000 | 3.049 | 0.000 | 3.906 | 0.000 | 2.721 | 0.000 |
\({t}_{1}\) | 0.768 | 0.000 | 0.875 | 0.000 | 0.781 | 0.000 | 0.869 | 0.266 | |
\({t}_{7}\) | 1.419 | 0.000 | 1.615 | 0.000 | 1.494 | 0.000 | 1.324 | 0.006 | |
Active travel (base) → Private car | \({t}_{0}\) | 1.354 | 0.000 | 1.020 | 0.610 | 1.255 | 0.002 | 1.303 | 0.09 |
\({t}_{1}\) | 0.867 | 0.001 | 1.036 | 0.409 | 0.846 | 0.017 | 0.800 | 0.131 | |
\({t}_{7}\) | 4.393 | 0.000 | 5.253 | 0.000 | 4.633 | 0.000 | 3.760 | 0.000 | |
Active travel (base) → Public transit | \({t}_{0}\) | 0.882 | 0.000 | 0.784 | 0.000 | 0.837 | 0.001 | 1.040 | 0.718 |
\({t}_{1}\) | 1.131 | 0.000 | 1.225 | 0.000 | 1.084 | 0.091 | 1.172 | 0.130 | |
\({t}_{7}\) | 1.608 | 0.000 | 1.743 | 0.000 | 1.559 | 0.000 | 1.444 | 0.000 |