Table 3 2SLS estimates - Jinshi density effects on contemporaneous per capita wage.

From: Long-term impacts of historical education policy on wages in China: insights on over-education

 

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

Panel A: First stage

 

Labor -intensive industry

High-technology industry

Dependent variable:

Jinshi density in Ming-Qing(logged)

River distance to bamboo/pine (no log)

−0.135*** (0.007)

−0.132*** (0.007)

−0.104*** (0.014)

−0.104*** (0.014)

−0.094*** (0.005)

−0.102*** (0.006)

KP-F statistics

332.443

328.083

260.957

52.876

337.130

257.790

Panel B: Second stage

      

Dependent variable:

Wage (logged)

Jinshi density in Ming-Qing(logged)

0.122*** (0.014)

0.131*** (0.016)

0.079*** (0.021)

0.079*** (0.018)

0.114*** (0.024)

0.076*** (0.021)

Jinshi density × Labor intensive

    

0.079*** (0.024)

 

Jinshi density × High technology

     

0.031** (0.013)

Cluster

County

County

County

City

County

County

Observations

250,176

250,176

250,176

250,176

250,176

250,176

Firm controls

No

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Other controls

No

No

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Provincial fixed effects

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Industrial fixed effects

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

  1. Each Column in each panel represents a separate cross-sectional 2SLS regression. Panel A displays first-stage results of the 2SLS estimate, showing river distance to the bamboo/pine forest effects on the regional Jinshi density. In Panel B, Column (1) reports the effects of Jinshi density effects to wage per worker without any covariates. We add firm controls and other controls stepwise in Columns (2) and (3). In Column (4), we adjust the cluster to the city level. In Columns (5) and (6), to investigate whether capital-intensive and high technology firms benefit more, we add the interaction term respectively. Covariates include rainfall and air pollution, nightlight in 2004, population density in Ming-Qing, the urbanization rate in Ming-Qing, distance to coast, agricultural sustainability, and terrain ruggedness. All regressions are clustered at the county level, unless noted. These estimated Jinshi density effects can be interpreted as the percentage changes in wages per worker with a percent change in Jinshi density. The KP F-statistic is the Kleibergen-Paap Wald rk F-statistic for weak identification in the first stage (Kleibergen and Paap, 2006). *** denotes significant at 1% level, ** denotes significant at 5% level, * denotes significant at 10% level.