Table 1 The “likely” ranges and “very likely” ranges of global mean sea-level rise for 2100 and 2300 using an expert survey.
From: Estimating global mean sea-level rise and its uncertainties by 2100 and 2300 from an expert survey
Survey | Year | Scenario | Likely range (m) (17th to 83rd percentiles) | Median (m) (50th percentile) | Very likely range (m) (5th to 95th percentiles) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 Survey | 2100 | Lower (RCP 2.6) | 0.30–0.65 | 0.45 | 0.21–0.82 |
Upper (RCP 8.5) | 0.63–1.32 | 0.93 | 0.45–1.65 | ||
2300 | Lower (RCP 2.6) | 0.54–2.15 | 1.18 | 0.24–3.11 | |
Upper (RCP 8.5) | 1.67–5.61 | 3.29 | 0.88–7.83 | ||
2014 Survey | 2100 | Lower (RCP 2.6) | 0.27–0.71 | 0.46 | 0.17–0.94 |
Upper (RCP 8.5) | 0.63–1.27 | 0.92 | 0.46–1.57 | ||
2300 | Lower (RCP 2.6) | 0.37–1.50 | 0.81 | 0.17–2.16 | |
Upper (RCP 8.5) | 1.31–3.63 | 2.29 | 0.78–4.87 |
