Table 2 June–July–August (JJA) and December–January–February (DJF) mean percent changes in temperature metrics under RCP8.5, GLENS, GEQ, Solar3x3, Solar1x1 ensemble mean (2075–2095) and GEOHEATS ensemble mean relative to the baseline ensemble mean (RCP8.5 runs during 2010–2030).
Change relative to the baseline | Tropical static stability | Meridional temperature gradient | Subtropical tropopause height | T1_surface | T1_troposphere | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JJA | RCP8.5 | 10.7 ± 0.2% | −4.0 ± 0.7% | 4.0 ± 0.2% | 9.6 ± 0.4% | 4.4 ± 0.4% |
GLENS | −1.0 ± 0.1% | 3.8 ± 0.4% | −6.7 ± 0.1% | 1.1 ± 0.2% | −1.0 ± 0.2% | |
GEQ | −2.7 ± 0.2% | 2.4 ± 0.8% | −9.8 ± 0.2% | −0.1 ± 0.4% | 1.5 ± 0.4% | |
Solar3x3 | −1.6 ± 0.2% | −0.2 ± 0.7% | −0.1 ± 0.1% | −2.2 ± 0.3% | −3.6 ± 0.4% | |
Solar1x1 | −2.7 ± 0.2% | 0.9 ± 0.6% | −0.9 ± 0.1% | 2.9 ± 0.3% | 2.4 ± 0.3% | |
GEOHEATS | 0.9 ± 0.2% | 1.6 ± 0.6% | −6.1 ± 0.1% | 1.8 ± 0.3% | 1.2 ± 0.3% | |
DJF | RCP8.5 | 9.1 ± 0.2% | −7.8 ± 0.6% | 3.6 ± 0.2% | −23.2 ± 0.7% | −13.9 ± 0.8% |
GLENS | −0.5 ± 0.1% | 1.2 ± 0.3% | −7.1 ± 0.1% | 0.5 ± 0.3% | 4.2 ± 0.4% | |
GEQ | −2.5 ± 0.2% | −4.0 ± 0.6% | −9.8 ± 0.2% | 0.1 ± 0.7% | 5.9 ± 0.8% | |
Solar3x3 | −1.0 ± 0.2% | −0.1 ± 0.6% | −0.9 ± 0.2% | −2.0 ± 0.6% | 2.3 ± 0.7% | |
Solar1x1 | −4.2 ± 0.2% | −4.4 ± 0.5% | −0.6 ± 0.2% | −15.7 ± 0.7% | −8.9 ± 0.9% | |
GEOHEATS | 1.2 ± 0.2% | −0.2 ± 0.5% | −3.0 ± 0.1% | −0.6 ± 0.5% | −0.3 ± 0.6% |
