Fig. 9: Model-projected DCFP in the future climate.

a–c Monthly precipitation distribution (shading, 2 mm/day interval) in January 2100 under the SSP1-2.6 (a), SSP2-4.5 (b), and SSP5-8.5 (c) scenarios, respectively, where the red, blue and green contours respectively indicate the regions covered by the OWP28, DCFPconv, and DCFPtrop, respectively. d–i, Region of the OWP28 (d–f) and DCFPconv (g–i) of every 5 years from 2015–2100 under the SSP1-2.6 (d, g), SSP2-4.5 (e, h), and SSP5-8.5 (f, i), respectively. Results are based on the simulation of CESM2-WACCM, one of the five best models, as an example. The results show that in a future warmer climate, the DCFP will remain within the Indian Ocean and western Pacific Ocean while the IPWP expands to the eastern Pacific, where deep convection is less frequently observed. Results of other models can be found in Supplementary Figs. 9–11.