Table 2 Scenarios used in this study and changes in major emissions and concentrations for 2050–2060.

From: The important role of African emissions reductions in projected local rainfall changes

Name

SO2 emissions

NOx, CO, OC, BC emissions

NH3 emissions

Methane (global conc.)

CO2 (global conc.)

Baseline (vs 2015–2019)

+200%

+125–300%

+300%

+37%

+40%

Scenarios vs Baseline 2050–2060

Agenda2063

−57%

−70–75%

−63%

−5%

−1%

No Decarbonization Aerosols Reductions (NDAR)

−9%

−60–65%

−37%

−5%

−1%

  1. Notes: Emissions are for Africa. N2O trends are similar to, though slightly larger than, those for CO2. conc concentration.