Fig. 3: Improvements in ensemble mean forecasts and ensemble spread-error ratios of six HW events. | npj Climate and Atmospheric Science

Fig. 3: Improvements in ensemble mean forecasts and ensemble spread-error ratios of six HW events.

From: Skillful subseasonal ensemble predictions of heat wave onsets through better representation of land surface uncertainties

Fig. 3

Improvements in the ensemble means of the area-averaged Tm of the CNOP-P and RP experiments during a the HW period and b the entire forecast period. c, d are similar to (a, b) but for the ratio of the ensemble spread to the ensemble mean forecast error. The error bars indicate the 95% confidence intervals determined via the bootstrap method.

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