Fig. 5: Reliability curves generated by the CNOP-P and RP methods for different high-temperature thresholds. | npj Climate and Atmospheric Science

Fig. 5: Reliability curves generated by the CNOP-P and RP methods for different high-temperature thresholds.

From: Skillful subseasonal ensemble predictions of heat wave onsets through better representation of land surface uncertainties

Fig. 5

a 35 °C high-temperature threshold, b 37 °C high-temperature threshold. Each point is computed across the MLYR and averaged over the whole forecast period. The error bars denote the 95% confidence intervals determined via the bootstrap method.

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