Fig. 7: The temporal evolution of ensemble spread for key variables. | npj Climate and Atmospheric Science

Fig. 7: The temporal evolution of ensemble spread for key variables.

From: Skillful subseasonal ensemble predictions of heat wave onsets through better representation of land surface uncertainties

Fig. 7

a the sensible heat flux (SH, unit: W/m2), b latent heat flux (LH, unit: W/m2), c net shortwave radiation flux (SW, unit: W/m2), d net longwave radiation flux (LW, unit: W/m2), e soil heat flux (G, unit: W/m2), f vapor pressure deficit (VPD, unit: Pa), g soil moisture (SMOIS, unit: m3/m3), h 500-hPa geopotential height (unit: gpm) and i sea level pressure (unit: hPa) of the CNOP-P and RP forecasts. The ensemble spread is computed across the MLYR and averaged over each period. The error bars denote the 95% confidence intervals determined via the bootstrap method.

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