Fig. 1: Projected regional changes in summer precipitation under the SSP5-8.5 and SSP2-4.5 scenarios.
From: Understanding drivers and uncertainty in projected African precipitation
a–i Area-averaged time series of projected change in summer precipitation (%) for the nine African regions during the twenty-first century. Black, blue, and red curves represent the CMIP6 EnsMean for the historical, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, respectively, and the shaded areas around each curve represent the range of the historical and projected changes across all models. The curves are obtained by taking the difference of each future year with respect to the average from the historical period (1965–2014) and then taking the 10-year running average afterward. j The CMIP6 EnsMean spatial summer rainfall change under SSP5-8.5, with corresponding SSP2-4.5 maps available in the Supplement (Fig. S2). Summer refers to May to September for the Northern Hemisphere and November to March for the Southern Hemisphere. The stippled area in (j) indicates grid points where at least 70% of the models agree with the sign of EnsMean.
