Table 1 Key WRD scenario combinations

From: Integrated assessment of river development on downstream marine fisheries and ecosystems

 

Properties of WRD scenarios

Median (90% range) of annual regional catch (t) difference and frequency of lost catch (%) (and catchment with greatest difference)

WRD

Number of rivers affected

Dams (yield (Gl yr−1))

Allocation amount (Gl yr−1)

Threshold for pumping (Mitchell)

Pump rate (Mitchell)

Common banana prawn (t)

Barramundi (t)

Giant mud crab (t)

Base

None

None

0

Observed (since 1971): 1,580 t

Observed (since 1989): 329 t

Observed (since 1989): 108 t

WRD 1

3 (Mitchell, Flinders, Gilbert)

2 on Gilbert (498 Gl yr−1)

High (Mitchell: 2,000 Gl yr−1; Flinders: 400 Gl yr−1)

Low

Low

−363 t (−855 t; −168 t)

Frequency (loss): 100% (Flinders)

−63 t (−117 t; −7 t)

Frequency (loss): 92% (Gilbert)

−25 t (−79 t; 2 t)

Frequency (loss): 88% (Flinders)

WRD 2

3 (Mitchell, Flinders, Gilbert)

1 on Gilbert (172 Gl yr−1)

Medium (Mitchell: 1,000 Gl yr−1; Flinders: 160 Gl yr−1)

High

High

−263 t (−662 t; −109 t)

Frequency (loss): 100% (Flinders)

−34 t (−74 t; 1 t)

Frequency (loss): 83% (Gilbert)

−19 t (−69 t; 2 t)

Frequency (loss): 90% (Flinders)

WRD 3

1 (Mitchell)

None

Medium (Mitchell: 1,000 Gl yr−1)

Low

High

−134 t (−303 t; −59 t)

Frequency (loss): 98% (Mitchell)

3 t (−22 t; 56 t)

Frequency (loss): 79% (Mitchell)

0 t (−1 t; 0.4 t)

Frequency (loss): 35% (Mitchell)

WRD 4

2 (Flinders, Gilbert)

1 on Gilbert (172 Gl yr−1)

Medium (Flinders: 160 Gl yr−1)

NA

NA

−225 t (−603 t; −99 t)

Frequency (loss): 100% (Flinders)

−28 t (−68 t; 6 t)

Frequency (loss): 81% (Gilbert)

−20 t (−69 t; 2 t)

Frequency (loss): 90% (Flinders)

  1. WRDs tested for the Mitchell, Gilbert and Flinders rivers relative to ‘Base’ (baseline flows including any existing water development). Also shown are MICE ensemble median annual catch loss or increase (t), with 5th and 95th percentiles: 90% of catch difference in this range, relative to ‘Base’ (row shows median observed catch (t)), for model regions 2–6 combined; frequency of years for which catch loss was estimated; and catchment with greatest decline. Gl, gigalitres, which is the total volume of water extracted per year. NA, not applicable. See Supplementary Table 11 for a description of all 19 WRDs tested.