Fig. 4

Estimated occupancy probability for six species of fishes and invertebrates by using time and latitude as covariates. The occupancy probability for annual mean in a given bay in a given year is plotted. a Spotted seatrout (Cynoscion nebulosus), increasing over time; b brown shrimp (Farfantepenaeus aztecus), increasing over time; c southern flounder (Paralichtys lethostigma), decreasing over time; d flagfin mojarra (Eucinostomus melanopterus), increasing and expanding over time; e inland silverside (Menidia beryllina), decreasing and contracting over time; f white shrimp (Litopenaeus setiferus), no temporal change. The scientific name is shown above each panel. SL Sabine Lake, GA Galveston Bay, MA Matagorda Bay, SA San Antonio Bay, AR Aransas Bay, CC Corpus Christi Bay, UM Upper Laguna Madre, LM Lower Laguna Madre. The results presented in each panel are based on the total of 58,604 measurements made over 35 years in eight bays. See Supplementary Data 4 and 5