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A signature-agnostic test for differences between tumor mutation spectra reveals carcinogen and ancestry effects
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  • Published: 20 February 2026

A signature-agnostic test for differences between tumor mutation spectra reveals carcinogen and ancestry effects

  • Samuel F. M. Hart  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-5068-21991,
  • Nicolas Alcala  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-5961-50642,
  • Alison F. Feder  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0003-2915-089X1,3,4 na1 &
  • …
  • Kelley Harris  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0003-0302-25231,3 na1 

Communications Biology , Article number:  (2026) Cite this article

We are providing an unedited version of this manuscript to give early access to its findings. Before final publication, the manuscript will undergo further editing. Please note there may be errors present which affect the content, and all legal disclaimers apply.

Subjects

  • Cancer genomics
  • Mutation

Abstract

Despite dozens of tools to identify mutational signatures in cancer samples, there is not an established metric for quantifying whether signature exposures differ significantly between two heterogeneous groups of samples. We demonstrate that a signature-agnostic metric - the aggregate mutation spectrum distance permutation method (AMSD) - can rigorously determine whether mutational exposures differ between groups, a hypothesis that is not directly addressed by signature analysis. First, we reanalyze a study of carcinogen exposure in mice, determining that eleven of twenty tested carcinogens produce significant mutation spectrum shifts. Only three of these carcinogens were previously reported to induce distinct mutational signatures, suggesting that many carcinogens perturb mutagenesis by altering the composition of endogenous signatures. Next, we interrogate whether patient ancestry has a measurable impact on human tumor mutation spectra, finding significant ancestry-associated differences across ten cancer types. Some have been previously reported, such as elevated SBS4 in African lung adenocarcinomas, while some have not to our knowledge been reported, such as elevated SBS17a/b in European esophageal carcinomas. These examples suggest that AMSD is a robust tool for detecting differences among groups of tumors or other mutated samples, complementing descriptive signature deconvolution and enabling the discovery of environmental and genetic influences on mutagenesis.

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Data availability

All analyses in this study use publicly available datasets, and figures and results can be reproduced using the code available at https://github.com/sfhart33/AMSD_cancer_mutation_spectra. Preprocessed mutation spectra are included in the repository, while raw data can be accessed from:

• Mouse carcinogen exposure: https://github.com/team113sanger/mouse-mutatation-signatures/blob/master/starting_data/snvs.rds

• Asbestos exposure: https://github.com/IARCbioinfo/MESOMICS_data/tree/main/phenotypic_map/MESOMICS

• TCGA ancestry metadata: https://gdc.cancer.gov/about-data/publications/CCG-AIM-2020

• TCGA somatic mutations: https://gdc.cancer.gov/about-data/publications/mc3-2017

The original implementation of the AMSD as a method for identifying mutator alleles is also available on github: https://github.com/quinlan-lab/proj-mutator-mapping.

Code availability

The Aggregate Mutation Spectrum Distance permutation test is implemented as the R package “mutspecdist”, available at https://github.com/sfhart33/mutspecdist. All analyses in this study use publicly available datasets, and figures and results can be reproduced using the code available at https://github.com/sfhart33/AMSD_cancer_mutation_spectra.

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Acknowledgements

We thank Harris and Feder lab members for figure feedback, Sayre Coombs for graphic design feedback, and Tom Sasani for developing the original implementation of AMSD and manuscript feedback. This work was possible due to funding from NIH training grant T32-HG000035 supporting S.F.M.H., Worldwide Cancer Research grant 24-0106 to N.A., NIH grant 1DP2CA280623-01 to A.F.F., NIH NIGMS grant 2R35M133428-06 to K.H., and the Allen Discovery Center for Cell Lineage Tracing. Where authors are identified as personnel of the International Agency for Research on Cancer/World Health Organization, the authors alone are responsible for the views expressed in this article and they do not necessarily represent the decisions, policy or views of the International Agency for Research on Cancer/World Health Organization. The results published here are in part based on data generated by the the TCGA Research Network (https://www.cancer.gov/tcga) and by the Rare Cancers Genomics initiative (www.rarecancersgenomics.com).

Author information

Author notes
  1. These authors jointly supervised this work: Alison F. Feder, Kelley Harris.

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Genome Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA

    Samuel F. M. Hart, Alison F. Feder & Kelley Harris

  2. Computational Cancer Genomics Team, International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC/WHO), Genomic Epidemiology Branch, Lyon, France

    Nicolas Alcala

  3. Herbold Computational Biology Program, Fred Hutch Cancer Center, Seattle, WA, USA

    Alison F. Feder & Kelley Harris

  4. Howard Hughes Medical Institute, Seattle, WA, USA

    Alison F. Feder

Authors
  1. Samuel F. M. Hart
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  2. Nicolas Alcala
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  3. Alison F. Feder
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Contributions

S.F.M.H., A.F.F., and K.H. contributed to study conceptualization and design. S.F.M.H. performed the data analysis. S.F.M.H., N.A., A.F.F., and K.H. interpreted the results. S.F.M.H. wrote the original draft of the manuscript. S.F.M.H., N.A., A.F.F., and K.H. contributed to review and editing of the manuscript.

Corresponding authors

Correspondence to Alison F. Feder or Kelley Harris.

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Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

Peer review

Peer review information

Communications Biology thanks Laura Torrens for their contribution to the peer review of this work. Primary Handling Editor: Mengtan Xing. A peer review file is available.

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Supplementary Information

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Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Hart, S.F.M., Alcala, N., Feder, A.F. et al. A signature-agnostic test for differences between tumor mutation spectra reveals carcinogen and ancestry effects. Commun Biol (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s42003-026-09652-5

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  • Received: 14 November 2025

  • Accepted: 27 January 2026

  • Published: 20 February 2026

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s42003-026-09652-5

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