Fig. 3: Effect of parameter variation on peak reduction and robustness to mistiming. | Communications Physics

Fig. 3: Effect of parameter variation on peak reduction and robustness to mistiming.

From: Optimal, near-optimal, and robust epidemic control

Fig. 3

a, b, Peak prevalence Imax as a function of offset from optimal intervention initiation time \({t}_{i}^{\,\text{opt}\,}\) and a intervention duration τ, b recovery rate γ. c, d Asymmetry between intervening early and intervening late, quantified as Imax for a 7-day late intervention minus Imax for a 7-day early intervention, as a function of the basic reproduction number \({{\mathcal{R}}}_{0}\) and c duration τ, d recovery rate γ. Unless otherwise stated, \({{\mathcal{R}}}_{0}=3\), \(\gamma =\frac{1}{14}\) days−1, and τ = 28 days. See Table 1 for parameter justifications.

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