Table 1 Modelled changes in undernutrition and mortality in children under 5 years of age, as well as anaemia during pregnancy, across 118 LMICs by scenario

From: The COVID-19 crisis will exacerbate maternal and child undernutrition and child mortality in low- and middle-income countries

 

Pessimistic

Moderate

Optimistic

2020

2021

2022

3-year impact

2020

2021

2022

3-year impact

2020

2021

2022

3-year impact

Cases of wasted children (0–59 months)

+5,780,000

+5,200,000

+2,630,000

+13,620,000

+5,780,000

+2,980,000

+530,000

+9,300,000

+5,780,000

+310,000

+350,000

+6,440,000

Cases of stunted children (0–59 months)a

+3,550,000

+3,550,000

+2,620,000

+2,620,000

+1,540,000

+1,540,000

Deaths in children under 5 years of age

+127,000

+114,000

+43,000

+283,000

+108,000

+54,000

+6,000

+168,000

+96,000

+12,000

−61,000

+47,000

Cases of anaemic pregnant women (15–49 years)

+2,700,000

+1,400,000

+700,000

+4,800,000

+1,400,000

+700,000

+2,100,000

+100,000

+500,000

−400,000

+1,000,000

Number of children born to women with a low BMI

+1,300,000

+1,100,000

+600,000

+3,000,000

+1,300,000

+700,000

+100,000

+2,100,000

+1,300,000

+100,000

−100,000

+1,400,000

  1. aGiven the cumulative nature of stunting, we report only the number of children aged 6–59 months who were stunted at the end of the 3-year period, to avoid double counting. Plus signs indicate a relative increase in cases, whereas minus signs indicate a relative decrease.