Table 3 Disruption scenarios reflecting the effects of the COVID-19 crisis on GNI and nutritional intervention coverage in LMICs
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pessimistic | Moderate | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Moderate | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Moderate | Optimistic | |
Change in GNI per capita (mean) | −6.1% | −6.1% | −6.1% | −5.4% | −3.4% | −0.47% | −2.9% | −0.73% | −0.45% |
Coverage change relative to the country-specific baseline (pre-COVID-19) by nutrition intervention | |||||||||
Breastfeeding promotion | −42.3% | −22.8% | −14.3% | −21.2% | −11.4% | −7.2% | −10.6% | 0% | +5.0% |
Complementary feeding SBCC (food secure) | −42.3% | −22.8% | −14.3% | −21.2% | −11.4% | −7.2% | −10.6% | 0% | +5.0% |
Public provision of complementary foods (food insecure) | −42.3% | −22.8% | −14.3% | −21.2% | −11.4% | −7.2% | −10.6% | 0% | +5.0% |
Vitamin A supplementation | −42.3% | −22.8% | −14.3% | −21.2% | −11.4% | −7.2% | −10.6% | 0% | +5.0% |
Treatment of SAM | −50.0% | −25.0% | −15.0% | −25.0% | −12.5% | −7.5% | −12.5% | 0% | +5.0% |
IFA in pregnancy | −51.9% | −26.9% | −18.5% | −25.9% | −13.4% | −9.2% | −13.0% | 0% | 0%a |
Multiple micronutrients in pregnancy | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | +5.0%a |
Balanced energy and protein supplementation in pregnancy | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | +10.0% |
Treatment of MAMb | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | +10.0% |
