Abstract
Soil carbon is an important component of the terrestrial carbon cycle and could be augmented through improved soil management to mitigate climate change. However, data gaps for numerous regions and a lack of understanding of the heterogeneity of biogeochemical processes across diverse soil landscapes hinder the development of large-scale representations of soil organic matter (SOM) dynamics. In this Perspective, we outline how understanding soil formation processes and complexity at the landscape scale can inform predictions of soil organic matter (SOM) cycling and soil carbon sequestration. Long-term alterations of the soil matrix caused by weathering and soil redistribution vary across climate zones and ecosystems, but particularly with the structure of landscapes at the regional scale. Thus, oversimplified generalizations that assume that the drivers of SOM dynamics can be scaled directly from local to global regimes and vice versa leads to large uncertainties in global projections of soil C stocks. Data-driven models with enhanced coverage of underrepresented regions, particularly where soils are physicochemically distinct and environmental change is most rapid, are key to understanding C turnover and stabilization at landscape scales to better predict global soil carbon dynamics.
Key points
-
Lack of high-resolution soil data for many regions and poor understanding of biogeochemical processes across diverse soil landscapes lead to uncertainties in estimates of soil organic matter (SOM) loss and carbon sequestration potential.
-
Plant C input, microbial turnover and organic matter stabilization are influenced by soil heterogeneities that arise from soil formation and degradation processes operating and interacting across various spatial scales, ranging from large-scale controls, such as geology and climate, to localized ones, such as topography and biology.
-
Human activities such as agriculture have influenced soil development for millennia. The pace, magnitude and breadth of these impacts has increased throughout the twentieth and twenty-first centuries owing to the growing use of mechanized agriculture and synthetic fertilizers to produce food.
-
Approaches to represent and predict SOM dynamics that neglect landscape complexity, and instead scale information from plot-level measurements to regional and global contexts, lead to biased interpretations and uncertainties.
-
Accounting for long-term alteration of the soil matrix at the landscape scale is key to improving forecasts of the soil C cycle in regions experiencing rapid environmental changes (such as polar and tropical regions) and regions with soil properties distinct from those assumed by existing Earth system models. Integrating global datasets with data from field and laboratory experiments can support such developments.
This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution
Access options
Access Nature and 54 other Nature Portfolio journals
Get Nature+, our best-value online-access subscription
$32.99 / 30 days
cancel any time
Subscribe to this journal
Receive 12 digital issues and online access to articles
$119.00 per year
only $9.92 per issue
Buy this article
- Purchase on SpringerLink
- Instant access to full article PDF
Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout





Similar content being viewed by others
Change history
17 January 2025
A Correction to this paper has been published: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-025-00645-2
References
Metzger, M. J., Bunce, R. G. H., Jongman, R. H. G., Mücher, C. A. & Watkins, J. W. A climatic stratification of the environment of Europe. Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr. 14, 549–563 (2005).
Smith, P. Carbon sequestration in croplands: the potential in Europe and the global context. Eur. J. Agron. 20, 229–236 (2004).
Hayes, D. et al. in Second State of the Carbon Cycle Report (SOCCR2): A Sustained Assessment Report (ed. Cavallaro, N. et al.) 71–108 (US Global Change Research Program, 2018).
Wang, Z. et al. Human-induced erosion has offset one-third of carbon emissions from land cover change. Nat. Clim. Change 7, 345–349 (2017).
Konings, A. G. et al. Global satellite-driven estimates of heterotrophic respiration. Biogeosciences 16, 2269–2284 (2019).
Friedlingstein, P. et al. Global carbon budget 2022. Earth Syst. Sci. Data 14, 4811–4900 (2022).
Minasny, B. et al. Soil carbon 4 per mille. Geoderma 292, 59–86 (2017).
Haaf, D., Six, J. & Doetterl, S. Global patterns of geo-ecological controls on the response of soil respiration to warming. Nat. Clim. Change 11, 623–627 (2021).
Kögel-Knabner, I. & Amelung, W. Soil organic matter in major pedogenic soil groups. Geoderma 384, 114785 (2021).
Begill, N., Don, A. & Poeplau, C. No detectable upper limit of mineral-associated organic carbon in temperate agricultural soils. Glob. Change Biol. 29, 4662–4669 (2023).
Cotrufo, M. F., Lavallee, J. M., Six, J. & Lugato, E. The robust concept of mineral-associated organic matter saturation: a letter to Begill et al., 2023. Glob. Change Biol. 29, 5986–5987 (2023).
Reichenbach, M. et al. Soil carbon stocks in stable tropical landforms are dominated by geochemical controls and not by land use. Glob. Change Biol. 29, 2591–2607 (2023).
Six, J., Doetterl, S., Laub, M., Müller, C. R. & Van de Broek, M. The six rights of how and when to test for soil C saturation. EGUsphere 2023, 1–8 (2023).
Bailey, V. L., Pries, C. H. & Lajtha, K. What do we know about soil carbon destabilization? Environ. Res. Lett. 14, 083004 (2019).
Leewis, M.-C. et al. The influence of soil development on the depth distribution and structure of soil microbial communities. Soil. Biol. Biochem. 174, 108808 (2022).
Mishra, U. et al. Spatial heterogeneity and environmental predictors of permafrost region soil organic carbon stocks. Sci. Adv. 7, eaaz5236 (2021).
Schlesinger, W. H. et al. Biological feedbacks in global desertification. Science 247, 1043–1048 (1990).
Brantley, S. L., Goldhaber, M. B. & Ragnarsdottir, K. V. Crossing disciplines and scales to understand the critical zone. Elements 3, 307–314 (2007).
Guo, L. & Lin, H. Critical zone research and observatories: current status and future perspectives. Vadose Zone J. 15, 1–14 (2016).
National Resarch Council Basic Research Opportunities in Earth Science (National Academies Press, 2001).
Jungkunst, H. F., Göpel, J., Horvath, T., Ott, S. & Brunn, M. Global soil organic carbon–climate interactions: why scales matter. WIREs Clim. Change 13, e780 (2022).
Han, L., Sun, K., Jin, J. & Xing, B. Some concepts of soil organic carbon characteristics and mineral interaction from a review of literature. Soil. Biol. Biochem. 94, 107–121 (2016).
Lawrence, C. R., Schulz, M. S., Masiello, C. A., Chadwick, O. A. & Harden, J. W. The trajectory of soil development and its relationship to soil carbon dynamics. Geoderma 403, 115378 (2021).
von Liebig, J. F. Organic Chemistry in Its Application to Agriculture and Physiology (ed. Playfair, L.) (James Munroe & Company, 1840).
Dokuchaev, V. V. Russian Chernozen: Selected Works of V. V. Dokuchaev (Israel Program for Scientific Translations, 1967).
Jenny, H. Factors of Soil Formation: A System of Quantitative Pedology (McGraw-Hill, 1941).
van Oost, K. et al. Legacy of human-induced C erosion and burial on soil–atmosphere C exchange. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 109, 19492–19497 (2012).
McLauchlan, K. The nature and longevity of agricultural impacts on soil carbon and nutrients: a review. Ecosystems 9, 1364–1382 (2006).
Schulp, C. J. E. & Veldkamp, A. Long-term landscape – land use interactions as explaining factor for soil organic matter variability in Dutch agricultural landscapes. Geoderma 146, 457–465 (2008).
Simpson, I., Dockrill, S. & Lancaster, S. in Old Scatness Broch, Shetland; Retrospect and Prospect (eds Nicolson, R. & Dockrill, S.) 111–126 (Univ. Bradford, Shetland Amenity Trust and North Atlantic Biocultural Organisation, 1998).
Dunne, K. & Willmott, C. J. Global distribution of plant‐extractable water capacity of soil. Int. J. Climatol. 16, 841–859 (1996).
Lawrence, C., Harden, J. & Maher, K. Modeling the influence of organic acids on soil weathering. Geochim. Cosmochim. Acta 139, 487–507 (2014).
Kleber, M. et al. Old and stable soil organic matter is not necessarily chemically recalcitrant: implications for modeling concepts and temperature sensitivity. Glob. Change Biol. 17, 1097–1107 (2011).
Schmidt, M. W. et al. Persistence of soil organic matter as an ecosystem property. Nature 478, 49–56 (2011).
Hemingway, J. D. et al. Mineral protection regulates long-term global preservation of natural organic carbon. Nature 570, 228–231 (2019).
Bruun, T. B., Elberling, B. & Christensen, B. T. Lability of soil organic carbon in tropical soils with different clay minerals. Soil. Biol. Biochem. 42, 888–895 (2010).
Mikutta, R. et al. Biogeochemistry of mineral–organic associations across a long-term mineralogical soil gradient (0.3–4100 kyr), Hawaiian Islands. Geochim. Cosmochim. Acta 73, 2034–2060 (2009).
Kramer, M. G., Sanderman, J., Chadwick, O. A., Chorover, J. & Vitousek, P. M. Long‐term carbon storage through retention of dissolved aromatic acids by reactive particles in soil. Glob. Change Biol. 18, 2594–2605 (2012).
Lawrence, C. R., Harden, J. W., Xu, X., Schulz, M. S. & Trumbore, S. E. Long-term controls on soil organic carbon with depth and time: a case study from the Cowlitz River chronosequence, WA USA. Geoderma 247–248, 73–87 (2015).
Doetterl, S. et al. Links among warming, carbon and microbial dynamics mediated by soil mineral weathering. Nat. Geosci. 11, 589–593 (2018).
Reichenbach, M. et al. The role of geochemistry in organic carbon stabilization against microbial decomposition in tropical rainforest soils. SOIL 7, 453–475 (2021).
Slessarev, E. W., Chadwick, O. A., Sokol, N. W., Nuccio, E. E. & Pett-Ridge, J. Rock weathering controls the potential for soil carbon storage at a continental scale. Biogeochemistry 157, 1–13 (2022).
Dietrich, W. E. & Perron, J. T. The search for a topographic signature of life. Nature 439, 411–418 (2006).
Fierer, N. & Jackson, R. B. The diversity and biogeography of soil bacterial communities. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 103, 626–631 (2006).
van Breemen, N. Soils as biotic constructs favouring net primary productivity. Geoderma 57, 183–211 (1993).
Qafoku, N. P. Climate-change effects on soils: accelerated weathering, soil carbon, and elemental cycling. Adv. Agron. 131, 111–172 (2015).
Torn, M. S., Trumbore, S. E., Chadwick, O. A., Vitousek, P. M. & Hendricks, D. M. Mineral control of soil organic carbon storage and turnover. Nature 389, 170–173 (1997).
Lilienfein, J., Qualls, R. G., Uselman, S. M. & Bridgham, S. D. Soil formation and organic matter accretion in a young andesitic chronosequence at Mt. Shasta, California. Geoderma 116, 249–264 (2003).
Masiello, C. A., Chadwick, O. A., Southon, J., Torn, M. S. & Harden, J. W. Weathering controls on mechanisms of carbon storage in grassland soils. Glob. Biogeochem. Cycles 18, GB4023 (2004).
Heckman, K. et al. Beyond bulk: density fractions explain heterogeneity in global soil carbon abundance and persistence. Glob. Change Biol. 28, 1178–1196 (2022).
Rumpel, C., Kögel-Knabner, I. & Bruhn, F. Vertical distribution, age, and chemical composition of organic carbon in two forest soils of different pedogenesis. Org. Geochem. 33, 1131–1142 (2002).
Doetterl, S. et al. Soil carbon storage controlled by interactions between geochemistry and climate. Nat. Geosci. 8, 780–783 (2015).
Li, Y., Shi, W., Aydin, A., Beroya-Eitner, M. A. & Gao, G. Loess genesis and worldwide distribution. Earth Sci. Rev. 201, 102947 (2020).
Lehmkuhl, F. et al. Loess landscapes of Europe — mapping, geomorphology, and zonal differentiation. Earth Sci. Rev. 215, 103496 (2021).
Zhu, Y., Jia, X. & Shao, M. Loess thickness variations across the loess plateau of China. Surv. Geophys. 39, 715–727 (2018).
Post, E. et al. The polar regions in a 2 °C warmer world. Sci. Adv. 5, eaaw9883 (2019).
Hugelius, G. et al. The Northern Circumpolar Soil Carbon Database: spatially distributed datasets of soil coverage and soil carbon storage in the northern permafrost regions. Earth Syst. Sci. Data 5, 3–13 (2013).
Donhauser, J. & Frey, B. Alpine soil microbial ecology in a changing world. FEMS Microbiol. Ecol. 94, fiy099 (2018).
Martens, J. et al. Stabilization of mineral-associated organic carbon in Pleistocene permafrost. Nat. Commun. 14, 2120 (2023).
Patzner, M. S. et al. Iron mineral dissolution releases iron and associated organic carbon during permafrost thaw. Nat. Commun. 11, 6329 (2020).
Sistla, S. A. et al. Long-term warming restructures Arctic tundra without changing net soil carbon storage. Nature 497, 615–618 (2013).
Doetterl, S. et al. Will accelerated soil development be a driver of Arctic Greening in the late 21st century? J. Plant. Nutr. Soil. Sci. 185, 19–23 (2022).
Liebmann, P. et al. Permafrost degradation and its consequences for carbon storage in soils of Interior Alaska. Biogeochemistry 167, 199–223 (2024).
Berner, L. T. et al. Summer warming explains widespread but not uniform greening in the Arctic tundra biome. Nat. Commun. 11, 4621 (2020).
Grimes, M., Carrivick, J. L., Smith, M. W. & Comber, A. J. Land cover changes across Greenland dominated by a doubling of vegetation in three decades. Sci. Rep. 14, 3120 (2024).
von Fromm, S. F. et al. Controls on timescales of soil organic carbon persistence across sub-Saharan Africa. Glob. Change Biol. 30, e17089 (2023).
Vitousek, P. M. & Sanford, R. Jr Nutrient cycling in moist tropical forest. Annu. Rev. Ecol. Syst. 17, 137–167 (1986).
Kitayama, K. & Aiba, S.-I. Ecosystem structure and productivity of tropical rain forests along altitudinal gradients with contrasting soil phosphorus pools on Mount Kinabalu, Borneo. J. Ecol. 90, 37–51 (2002).
Lal, R. Soil Erosion in the Tropics: Principles and Management (McGraw-Hill, 1990).
Labrière, N., Locatelli, B., Laumonier, Y., Freycon, V. & Bernoux, M. Soil erosion in the humid tropics: a systematic quantitative review. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 203, 127–139 (2015).
Bauters, M. et al. Soil nutrient depletion and tree functional composition shift following repeated clearing in secondary forests of the Congo basin. Ecosystems 24, 1422–1435 (2021).
Bauters, M. et al. Increasing calcium scarcity along Afrotropical forest succession. Nat. Ecol. Evol. 6, 1122–1131 (2022).
Pendrill, F. et al. Disentangling the numbers behind agriculture-driven tropical deforestation. Science 377, eabm9267 (2022).
Giller, K. E. et al. Small farms and development in sub-Saharan Africa: farming for food, for income or for lack of better options? Food Secur. 13, 1431–1454 (2021).
Lowder, S. K., Skoet, J. & Raney, T. The number, size, and distribution of farms, smallholder farms, and family farms worldwide. World Dev. 87, 16–29 (2016).
García-Ruiz, J. M. et al. A meta-analysis of soil erosion rates across the world. Geomorphology 239, 160–173 (2015).
Berhe, A. A., Barnes, R. T., Six, J. & Marín-Spiotta, E. Role of soil erosion in biogeochemical cycling of essential elements: carbon, nitrogen, and phosphorus. Annu. Rev. Earth Planet. Sci. 46, 521–548 (2018).
Sanderman, J. & Berhe, A. A. The soil carbon erosion paradox. Nat. Clim. Change 7, 317–319 (2017).
Gregorich, E. G., Greer, K. J., Anderson, D. W. & Liang, B. C. Carbon distribution and losses: erosion and deposition effects. Soil. Tillage Res. 47, 291–302 (1998).
Wang, X., Cammeraat, E. L. H., Cerli, C. & Kalbitz, K. Soil aggregation and the stabilization of organic carbon as affected by erosion and deposition. Soil. Biol. Biochem. 72, 55–65 (2014).
Berhe, A. A., Harden, J. W., Torn, M. S. & Harte, J. Linking soil organic matter dynamics and erosion-induced terrestrial carbon sequestration at different landform positions. J. Geophys. Res. Biogeosci. https://doi.org/10.1029/2008JG000751 (2008).
Quinton, J. N., Govers, G., Van Oost, K. & Bardgett, R. D. The impact of agricultural soil erosion on biogeochemical cycling. Nat. Geosci. 3, 311–314 (2010).
Lugato, E. et al. Soil erosion is unlikely to drive a future carbon sink in Europe. Sci. Adv. 4, eaau3523 (2018).
Li, P. et al. Wind erosion enhanced by land use changes significantly reduces ecosystem carbon storage and carbon sequestration potentials in semiarid grasslands. Land. Degrad. Dev. 29, 3469–3478 (2018).
Doetterl, S. et al. Erosion, deposition and soil carbon: a review of process-level controls, experimental tools and models to address C cycling in dynamic landscapes. Earth Sci. Rev. 154, 102–122 (2016).
Harden, J. W. et al. Dynamic replacement and loss of soil carbon on eroding cropland. Glob. Biogeochem. Cycles 13, 885–901 (1999).
van Oost, K. et al. The impact of agricultural soil erosion on the global carbon cycle. Science 318, 626–629 (2007).
Doetterl, S., Six, J., Van Wesemael, B. & Van Oost, K. Carbon cycling in eroding landscapes: geomorphic controls on soil organic C pool composition and C stabilization. Glob. Change Biol. 18, 2218–2232 (2012).
Berhe, A. A. et al. Persistence of soil organic matter in eroding versus depositional landform positions. J. Geophys. Res. Biogeosci. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JG001790 (2012).
Berhe, A. A. & Kleber, M. Erosion, deposition, and the persistence of soil organic matter: mechanistic considerations and problems with terminology. Earth Surf. Process. Landf. 38, 908–912 (2013).
Lawrence, C. R., Neff, J. C. & Farmer, G. L. The accretion of aeolian dust in soils of the San Juan Mountains, Colorado, USA. J. Geophys. Res. Earth Surf. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JF001899 (2011).
Vogel, C. et al. Microspectroscopy reveals dust-derived apatite grains in acidic, highly-weathered Hawaiian soils. Geoderma 381, 114681 (2021).
Bai, Y. & Cotrufo, M. F. Grassland soil carbon sequestration: current understanding, challenges, and solutions. Science 377, 603–608 (2022).
Plaza, C. et al. Soil resources and element stocks in drylands to face global issues. Sci. Rep. 8, 13788 (2018).
Hély, C., Alleaume, S. & Runyan, C. W. in Dryland Ecohydrology (eds d’Odorico, P. et al.) 367–399 (Springer, 2019).
Sanderman, J., Hengl, T. & Fiske, G. J. Soil carbon debt of 12,000 years of human land use. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 114, 9575–9580 (2017).
Govers, G., Vandaele, K., Desmet, P., Poesen, J. & Bunte, K. The role of tillage in soil redistribution on hillslopes. Eur. J. Soil. Sci. 45, 469–478 (1994).
Ruysschaert, G., Poesen, J., Verstraeten, G. & Govers, G. Soil loss due to harvesting of various crop types in contrasting agro-ecological environments. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 120, 153–165 (2007).
Carozza, J. M. et al. Landuse and soil degradation in the southern Maya lowlands, from pre-Classic to post-Classic times: the case of La Joyanca (Petén, Guatemala). Geodinam. Acta 20, 195–207 (2007).
Birks, H. H. The Cultural Landscape: Past, Present and Future (Cambridge Univ. Press, 1988).
Alcántara, V., Don, A., Well, R. & Nieder, R. Legacy of medieval ridge and furrow cultivation on soil organic carbon distribution and stocks in forests. CATENA 154, 85–94 (2017).
Foster, D. et al. The importance of land-use legacies to ecology and conservation. BioScience 53, 77–88 (2003).
Hagmann, R. K. et al. Evidence for widespread changes in the structure, composition, and fire regimes of western North American forests. Ecol. Appl. 31, e02431 (2021).
Krupski, M. et al. Evidence of prehistoric and early medieval agriculture and its impact on soil and land relief transformation in the Białowieża natural forest (NE Poland). Geoderma 410, 115668 (2022).
Farrell, E. P. et al. European forest ecosystems: building the future on the legacy of the past. For. Ecol. Manag. 132, 5–20 (2000).
Schelhaas, M. J. et al. Actual European forest management by region, tree species and owner based on 714,000 re-measured trees in national forest inventories. PLoS ONE 13, e0207151 (2018).
Kaiser, K., Theuerkauf, M. & Hieke, F. Holocene forest and land-use history of the Erzgebirge, central Europe: a review of palynological data. EG Quatern. Sci. J. 72, 127–161 (2023).
Montgomery, D. R. Soil erosion and agricultural sustainability. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 104, 13268–13272 (2007).
Kopittke, P. M., Menzies, N. W., Wang, P., McKenna, B. A. & Lombi, E. Soil and the intensification of agriculture for global food security. Environ. Int. 132, 105078 (2019).
Foley, J. A. et al. Global consequences of land use. Science 309, 570–574 (2005).
Muñoz-Rojas, M. et al. Impact of land use and land cover changes on organic carbon stocks in Mediterranean soils (1956–2007). Land. Degrad. Dev. 26, 168–179 (2015).
Pimentel, D. & Kounang, N. Ecology of soil erosion in ecosystems. Ecosystems 1, 416–426 (1998).
Pimentel, D. et al. Environmental and economic costs of soil erosion and conservation benefits. Science 267, 1117–1123 (1995).
Alewell, C., Egli, M. & Meusburger, K. An attempt to estimate tolerable soil erosion rates by matching soil formation with denudation in Alpine grasslands. J. Soils Sediment. 15, 1383–1399 (2015).
Kirkels, F. M. S. A., Cammeraat, L. H. & Kuhn, N. J. The fate of soil organic carbon upon erosion, transport and deposition in agricultural landscapes — a review of different concepts. Geomorphology 226, 94–105 (2014).
van Oost, K. & Six, J. Reconciling the paradox of soil organic carbon erosion by water. Biogeosciences 20, 635–646 (2023).
Wilkinson, B. H. Humans as geologic agents: a deep-time perspective. Geology 33, 161–164, (2005).
Syvitski, J. et al. Earth’s sediment cycle during the Anthropocene. Nat. Rev. Earth Environ. 3, 179–196 (2022).
O’Rourke, S. M., Angers, D. A., Holden, N. M. & McBratney, A. B. Soil organic carbon across scales. Glob. Change Biol. 21, 3561–3574 (2015).
Kleber, M. et al. in Advances in Agronomy Vol. 130 (ed. Sparks, D. L.) 1–140 (Academic, 2015).
Kleber, M. et al. Dynamic interactions at the mineral–organic matter interface. Nat. Rev. Earth Environ. 2, 402–421 (2021).
Robinson, N. P. et al. Terrestrial primary production for the conterminous United States derived from Landsat 30 m and MODIS 250 m. Remote. Sens. Ecol. Conserv. 4, 264–280 (2018).
Xiao, J., Fisher, J. B., Hashimoto, H., Ichii, K. & Parazoo, N. C. Emerging satellite observations for diurnal cycling of ecosystem processes. Nat. Plants 7, 877–887 (2021).
Luo, Z., Wang, G. & Wang, E. Global subsoil organic carbon turnover times dominantly controlled by soil properties rather than climate. Nat. Commun. 10, 3688 (2019).
Simo, I., Schulte, R., O’Sullivan, L. & Creamer, R. Digging deeper: understanding the contribution of subsoil carbon for climate mitigation, a case study of Ireland. Environ. Sci. Policy 98, 61–69 (2019).
Inagaki, T. M. et al. Subsoil organo-mineral associations under contrasting climate conditions. Geochim. Cosmochim. Acta 270, 244–263 (2020).
Kramer, M. G. & Chadwick, O. A. Climate-driven thresholds in reactive mineral retention of soil carbon at the global scale. Nat. Clim. Change 8, 1104–1108 (2018).
von Fromm, S. F. et al. Continental-scale controls on soil organic carbon across sub-Saharan Africa. SOIL 7, 305–332 (2021).
Rasmussen, C. et al. Beyond clay: towards an improved set of variables for predicting soil organic matter content. Biogeochemistry 137, 297–306 (2018).
Hengl, T. et al. SoilGrids250m: global gridded soil information based on machine learning. PLoS ONE 12, e0169748 (2017).
Minasny, B., McBratney, A. B., Malone, B. P. & Wheeler, I. in Advances in Agronomy Vol. 118 (ed. Sparks, D. L.) 1–47 (Academic, 2013).
Smith, P. et al. Climate change cannot be entirely responsible for soil carbon loss observed in England and Wales, 1978–2003. Glob. Change Biol. 13, 2605–2609 (2007).
Ottoy, S. et al. An exponential change decline function to estimate soil organic carbon stocks and their changes from topsoil measurements. Eur. J. Soil. Sci. 67, 816–826 (2016).
Hong, Y. et al. Potential of globally distributed topsoil mid-infrared spectral library for organic carbon estimation. Catena 235, 107628 (2024).
Vågen, T.-G. et al. Mid-infrared spectra (MIRS) from ICRAF soil and plant spectroscopy laboratory: Africa Soil Information Service (AfSIS) Phase I 2009–2013. https://doi.org/10.34725/DVN/QXCWP1 (World Agroforestry (ICRAF), 2020).
Summerauer, L. et al. The central African soil spectral library: a new soil infrared repository and a geographical prediction analysis. Soil 7, 693–715 (2021).
Mendes, Wd. S. et al. The Brazilian soil mid-infrared spectral library: the power of the fundamental range. Geoderma 415, 115776 (2022).
Ma, Y. et al. A soil spectral library of New Zealand. Geoderma Reg. 35, e00726 (2023).
Barra, I., Haefele, S. M., Sakrabani, R. & Kebede, F. Soil spectroscopy with the use of chemometrics, machine learning and pre-processing techniques in soil diagnosis: recent advances–a review. TrAC. Trends Anal. Chem. 135, 116166 (2021).
Seybold, C. A. et al. Application of mid-infrared spectroscopy in soil survey. Soil. Sci. Soc. Am. J. 83, 1746–1759 (2019).
Doetterl, S., Stevens, A., Van Oost, K. & van Wesemael, B. Soil organic carbon assessment at high vertical resolution using closed-tube sampling and vis-NIR spectroscopy. Soil. Sci. Soc. Am. J. 77, 1430–1435 (2013).
Nocita, M. et al. Soil spectroscopy: an opportunity to be seized. Glob. Change Biol. 21, 10–11 (2015).
Lin, Z. et al. On the magnitude and uncertainties of global and regional soil organic carbon: a comparative analysis using multiple estimates. Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss. 2022, 1–24 (2022).
Stell, E., Warner, D., Jian, J., Bond-Lamberty, B. & Vargas, R. Spatial biases of information influence global estimates of soil respiration: how can we improve global predictions? Glob. Change Biol. 27, 3923–3938 (2021).
Minasny, B. & McBratney, A. B. A conditioned Latin hypercube method for sampling in the presence of ancillary information. Comput, Geosci. 32, 1378–1388 (2006).
Yang, L. et al. Evaluation of conditioned Latin hypercube sampling for soil mapping based on a machine learning method. Geoderma 369, 114337 (2020).
Vargas, R. & Le, V. H. The paradox of assessing greenhouse gases from soils for nature-based solutions. Biogeosciences 20, 15–26 (2023).
Le, V. H. & Vargas, R. An autocorrelated conditioned Latin hypercube method for temporal or spatial sampling and predictions. Computers Geosci. 184, 105539 (2024).
Finke, P. A., Jafari, A., Zwertvaegher, A. & Thas, O. Quantifying the uncertainty of a model-reconstructed soilscape for archaeological land evaluation. Geoderma 320, 74–81 (2018).
Keyvanshokouhi, S. et al. Effects of soil process formalisms and forcing factors on simulated organic carbon depth-distributions in soils. Sci. Total. Environ. 652, 523–537 (2019).
Bond-Lamberty, B. et al. Twenty years of progress, challenges, and opportunities in measuring and understanding soil respiration. J. Geophys. Res. Biogeosci. 129, e2023JG007637 (2024).
Warner, D. L., Bond-Lamberty, B., Jian, J., Stell, E. & Vargas, R. Spatial predictions and associated uncertainty of annual soil respiration at the global scale. Glob. Biogeochem. Cycles 33, 1733–1745 (2019).
Batjes, N. H., Calisto, L. & de Sousa, L. M. Providing quality-assessed and standardised soil data to support global mapping and modelling (WoSIS snapshot 2023). Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss. 2024, 1–46 (2024).
Lawrence, C. R. et al. An open-source database for the synthesis of soil radiocarbon data: International Soil Radiocarbon Database (ISRaD) version 1.0. Earth Syst. Sci. Data 12, 61–76 (2020).
Jian, J. et al. A restructured and updated global soil respiration database (SRDB-V5). Earth Syst. Sci. Data 13, 255–267 (2021).
Baveye, P. C. Ecosystem-scale modelling of soil carbon dynamics: time for a radical shift of perspective? Soil. Biol. Biochem. 184, 109112 (2023).
Patton, N. R., Lohse, K. A., Seyfried, M. S., Godsey, S. E. & Parsons, S. B. Topographic controls of soil organic carbon on soil-mantled landscapes. Sci. Rep. 9, 6390 (2019).
Barré, P. et al. Geological control of soil organic carbon and nitrogen stocks at the landscape scale. Geoderma 285, 50–56 (2017).
Luo, Z., Viscarra-Rossel, R. A. & Qian, T. Similar importance of edaphic and climatic factors for controlling soil organic carbon stocks of the world. Biogeosciences 18, 2063–2073 (2021).
Bradford, M. A. et al. Managing uncertainty in soil carbon feedbacks to climate change. Nat. Clim. Change 6, 751–758 (2016).
Walker, T. W. & Syers, J. K. The fate of phosphorus during pedogenesis. Geoderma 15, 1–19 (1976).
Chadwick, O. A., Derry, L. A., Vitousek, P. M., Huebert, B. J. & Hedin, L. O. Changing sources of nutrients during four million years of ecosystem development. Nature 397, 491–497 (1999).
Torn, M. S., Vitousek, P. M. & Trumbore, S. E. The influence of nutrient availability on soil organic matter turnover estimated by incubations and radiocarbon modeling. Ecosystems 8, 352–372 (2005).
Lilienfein, J., Qualls, R. G., Uselman, S. M. & Bridgham, S. D. Adsorption of dissolved organic carbon and nitrogen in soils of a weathering chronosequence. Soil. Sci. Soc. Am. J. 68, 292–305 (2004).
Tao, F. et al. Microbial carbon use efficiency promotes global soil carbon storage. Nature 618, 981–985 (2023).
Groffman, P., Tiedje, J., Robertson, G. & Christensen, S. in Advances in Nitrogen Cycling in Agricultural Ecosystems (ed. Wilson, R.) 174–192 (CAB International, 1988).
Fierer, N. Embracing the unknown: disentangling the complexities of the soil microbiome. Nat. Rev. Microbiol. 15, 579–590 (2017).
Chadwick, O. A. & Chorover, J. The chemistry of pedogenic thresholds. Geoderma 100, 321–353 (2001).
Chadwick, O. A. et al. The impact of climate on the biogeochemical functioning of volcanic soils. Chem. Geol. 202, 195–223 (2003).
Ewing, S. A. et al. A threshold in soil formation at Earth’s arid–hyperarid transition. Geochim. Cosmochim. Acta 70, 5293–5322 (2006).
Borrelli, P. et al. Soil erosion modelling: a global review and statistical analysis. Sci. Total. Environ. 780, 146494 (2021).
Williams, J. et al. Using soil erosion models for global change studies. J. Soil. Water Conserv. 51, 381 (1996).
Chappell, A., Baldock, J. & Sanderman, J. The global significance of omitting soil erosion from soil organic carbon cycling schemes. Nat. Clim. Change 6, 187–191 (2016).
Pennock, D. J. in Developments in Soil Science Vol. 25 (eds Gregorich, E. G. & Carter, M. R.) 167–185 (Elsevier, 1997).
Wilken, F., Fiener, P. & Van Oost, K. Modelling a century of soil redistribution processes and carbon delivery from small watersheds using a multi-class sediment transport model. Earth Surf. Dynam. 5, 113–124 (2017).
Cerdan, O. et al. Rates and spatial variations of soil erosion in Europe: a study based on erosion plot data. Geomorphology 122, 167–177 (2010).
Naipal, V. et al. Global soil organic carbon removal by water erosion under climate change and land use change during AD 1850–2005. Biogeosciences 15, 4459–4480 (2018).
Smith, S. V., Renwick, W. H., Buddemeier, R. W. & Crossland, C. J. Budgets of soil erosion and deposition for sediments and sedimentary organic carbon across the conterminous United States. Glob. Biogeochem. Cycles 15, 697–707 (2001).
Lal, R. Soil degradation by erosion. Land Degrad. Dev. 12, 519–539 (2001).
Liu, C. et al. Modeling organic matter sources of sediment fluxes in eroding landscapes: review, key challenges, and new perspectives. Geoderma 383, 114704 (2021).
Gaspar, L., Lizaga, I. & Navas, A. Spatial distribution of fallout and lithogenic radionuclides controlled by soil carbon and water erosion in an agroforestry South-Pyrenean catchment. Geoderma 391, 114941 (2021).
Wilken, F., Ketterer, M., Koszinski, S., Sommer, M. & Fiener, P. Understanding the role of water and tillage erosion from 239+240Pu tracer measurements using inverse modelling. SOIL 6, 549–564 (2020).
Chen, F. X., Fang, N. F., Wang, Y. X., Tong, L. S. & Shi, Z. H. Biomarkers in sedimentary sequences: indicators to track sediment sources over decadal timescales. Geomorphology 278, 1–11 (2017).
Nilsson, S. & Schopfhauser, W. The carbon-sequestration potential of a global afforestation program. Clim. Change 30, 267–293 (1995).
Doelman, J. C. et al. Afforestation for climate change mitigation: potentials, risks and trade-offs. Glob. Change Biol. 26, 1576–1591 (2020).
Le, H. D., Smith, C., Herbohn, J. & Harrison, S. More than just trees: assessing reforestation success in tropical developing countries. J. Rural. Stud. 28, 5–19 (2012).
Zhou, Y. et al. Limited increases in savanna carbon stocks over decades of fire suppression. Nature 603, 445–449 (2022).
White, L. J. et al. Congo Basin rainforest — invest US $150 million in science. Nature 598, 411–414 (2021).
Szatmári, G. et al. Countrywide mapping and assessment of organic carbon saturation in the topsoil using machine learning-based pedotransfer function with uncertainty propagation. Catena 227, 107086 (2023).
Rogelj, J. et al. Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 °C. Nat. Clim. Change 8, 325–332 (2018).
Scheffer, M. & Carpenter, S. R. Catastrophic regime shifts in ecosystems: linking theory to observation. Trends Ecol. Evol. 18, 648–656 (2003).
Vargas, R., Detto, M., Baldocchi, D. D. & Allen, M. F. Multiscale analysis of temporal variability of soil CO2 production as influenced by weather and vegetation. Glob. Change Biol. 16, 1589–1605 (2010).
Kuzyakov, Y. & Razavi, B. S. Rhizosphere size and shape: temporal dynamics and spatial stationarity. Soil. Biol. Biochem. 135, 343–360 (2019).
Franklin, S. M. et al. The unexplored role of preferential flow in soil carbon dynamics. Soil. Biol. Biochem. 161, 108398 (2021).
Torsvik, V. & Øvreås, L. Microbial diversity and function in soil: from genes to ecosystems. Curr. Opin. Microbiol. 5, 240–245 (2002).
Kim, D. G., Vargas, R., Bond-Lamberty, B. & Turetsky, M. R. Effects of soil rewetting and thawing on soil gas fluxes: a review of current literature and suggestions for future research. Biogeosciences 9, 2459–2483 (2012).
Schulp, C. J. E. & Verburg, P. H. Effect of land use history and site factors on spatial variation of soil organic carbon across a physiographic region. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 133, 86–97 (2009).
Bradford, M. A. et al. Quantifying microbial control of soil organic matter dynamics at macrosystem scales. Biogeochemistry 156, 19–40 (2021).
Schwanghart, W. & Jarmer, T. Linking spatial patterns of soil organic carbon to topography — a case study from south-eastern Spain. Geomorphology 126, 252–263 (2011).
Potter, C. et al. Global teleconnections of climate to terrestrial carbon flux. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. https://doi.org/10.1029/2002JD002979 (2003).
Heimann, M. & Reichstein, M. Terrestrial ecosystem carbon dynamics and climate feedbacks. Nature 451, 289–292 (2008).
Rillig, M. C. et al. The role of multiple global change factors in driving soil functions and microbial biodiversity. Science 366, 886–890 (2019).
Guevara, M. et al. No silver bullet for digital soil mapping: country-specific soil organic carbon estimates across Latin America. Soil 4, 173–193 (2018).
Bradford, M. A. et al. Climate fails to predict wood decomposition at regional scales. Nat. Clim. Change 4, 625–630 (2014).
Harden, J. W. et al. Networking our science to characterize the state, vulnerabilities, and management opportunities of soil organic matter. Glob. Change Biol. 24, e705–e718 (2018).
Chenu, C. et al. Increasing organic stocks in agricultural soils: knowledge gaps and potential innovations. Soil. Tillage Res. 188, 41–52 (2019).
Jandl, R. et al. Current status, uncertainty and future needs in soil organic carbon monitoring. Sci. Total. Environ. 468-469, 376–383 (2014).
Petrakis, S., Barba, J., Bond-Lamberty, B. & Vargas, R. Using greenhouse gas fluxes to define soil functional types. Plant. Soil. 423, 285–294 (2018).
Xiong, X. et al. Holistic environmental soil-landscape modeling of soil organic carbon. Environ. Model. Softw. 57, 202–215 (2014).
Lawrence, D. M. et al. The community land model version 5: description of new features, benchmarking, and impact of forcing uncertainty. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst. 11, 4245–4287 (2019).
Luo, Y. et al. Toward more realistic projections of soil carbon dynamics by Earth system models. Glob. Biogeochem. Cycles 30, 40–56 (2016).
Todd-Brown, K. E. O. et al. Causes of variation in soil carbon simulations from CMIP5 Earth system models and comparison with observations. Biogeosciences 10, 1717–1736 (2013).
Fatichi, S. et al. Soil structure is an important omission in Earth system models. Nat. Commun. 11, 522 (2020).
Cook, B. I. et al. Twenty-first century drought projections in the CMIP6 forcing scenarios. Earth’s Future 8, e2019EF001461 (2020).
Wieder, W. R., Bonan, G. B. & Allison, S. D. Global soil carbon projections are improved by modelling microbial processes. Nat. Clim. Change 3, 909–912 (2013).
Tang, J. & Riley, W. J. Weaker soil carbon–climate feedbacks resulting from microbial and abiotic interactions. Nat. Clim. Change 5, 56–60 (2015).
Dignac, M.-F. et al. Increasing soil carbon storage: mechanisms, effects of agricultural practices and proxies. A review. Agron. Sustain. Dev. 37, 14 (2017).
Angst, G. et al. Unlocking complex soil systems as carbon sinks: multi-pool management as the key. Nat. Commun. 14, 2967 (2023).
Wilkinson, M. D. et al. The FAIR guiding principles for scientific data management and stewardship. Sci. Data 3, 160018 (2016).
Strakhov, N. M. Principles of Lithogenesis (Springer, 2014).
Pope, G. A., Dorn, R. I. & Dixon, J. C. A new conceptual model for understanding geographical variations in weathering. Ann. Assoc. Am. Geogr. 85, 38–64 (1995).
Hartmann, J., Moosdorf, N., Lauerwald, R., Hinderer, M. & West, A. J. Global chemical weathering and associated P-release — the role of lithology, temperature and soil properties. Chem. Geol. 363, 145–163 (2014).
Doetterl, S. et al. in Understanding Soil Organic Carbon Dynamics at Larger Scales (ed. Rumpel, C.) 115–182 (Burleigh Dodds, 2022).
Heckman, K. & Rasmussen, C. in Developments in Soil Science Vol. 35, 93–110 (Elsevier, 2018).
Wakatsuki, T. & Masunaga, T. Ecological engineering for sustainable food production and the restoration of degraded watersheds in tropics of low pH soils: focus on West Africa. Soil Sci. Plant Nutr. 51, 629–636 (2005).
Dossou-Yovo, E. R. et al. Thirty years of water management research for rice in sub-Saharan Africa: achievement and perspectives. Field Crop. Res. 283, 108548 (2022).
van Oort, P. A. J. et al. Assessment of rice self-sufficiency in 2025 in eight African countries. Glob. Food Security 5, 39–49 (2015).
Ofori, J., Hisatomi, Y., Kamidouzono, A., Masunaga, T. & Wakatsuki, T. Performance of rice cultivars in various sawah ecosystems developed in inland valleys, Ashanti region, Ghana. Soil. Sci. Plant. Nutr. 51, 469–476 (2005).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Contributions
S.D., K.H., C.L., R.V. and R.W. researched data for the article. All authors contributed substantially to discussion of the content. S.D., K.H., C.L., R.V. and R.W. wrote the article. All authors reviewed and/or edited the manuscript before submission.
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Competing interests
The authors declare no competing interests.
Peer review
Peer review information
Nature Reviews Earth & Environment thanks Samantha Weintraub-Leff, Zhongkui Luo and the other, anonymous, reviewer(s) for their contribution to the peer review of this work.
Additional information
Publisher’s note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.
About this article
Cite this article
Doetterl, S., Berhe, A.A., Heckman, K. et al. A landscape-scale view of soil organic matter dynamics. Nat Rev Earth Environ 6, 67–81 (2025). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-024-00621-2
Accepted:
Published:
Issue date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-024-00621-2
This article is cited by
-
Latitudinal gradient and environmental drivers of soil organic carbon in permafrost regions of the Headwater Area of the Yellow River
Carbon Neutrality (2025)
-
Using aridity as an overarching factor to advance understanding of soil organic carbon storage at the continental scale
Biogeochemistry (2025)