Fig. 3: Median warming in 2030 under historical emissions and currently pledged NDCs and for illustrative per capita scenarios in which the whole world emits fossil CO2 per capita like the top five emitters during the Paris period.
From: Responsibility of major emitters for country-level warming and extreme hot years
a ΔGMT distribution for each scenario. b Regional median warming distributions for the top five emitters. For each region, the median warming distribution in the NDC scenario and in the per capita scenario are shown. c Percentage of countries above a set of country-level warming thresholds for different median warming distribution percentiles for each scenario. The box-plots indicate the median (line), the likely range (box), and the 5th–95th percentile (whiskers).
