Fig. 2: Sensitivity of large fire probability (LFP) to meteorological variables and fire indices.
From: The season for large fires in Southern California is projected to lengthen in a changing climate
Accumulated local effect (ALE) plots show the relationship between large fire risk and the top four key drivers in dry (a–d) and wet (e–h) seasons. The x-axes represent the independent covariates (in units of standard deviation), and the y-axes represent the size of the mean effect each covariate has on large fire probability (LFP). Variables are ranked in order of the relative importance in random forest models from high (a, e) to low (d, h). Grey lines refer to locally weighted smooth series with the 95% confidence intervals indicated.
