Fig. 3: Seasonal variations in the earth system model (ESM) ensemble-mean large fire probability (LFP).
From: The season for large fires in Southern California is projected to lengthen in a changing climate
Monthly LFPs for the end of the 20th century (grey, 1970–1999), and the middle (light blue and light tan, 2040–2069) and end (blue and tan, 2070–2099) of the 21st century in the coastal southern California area (CSCA) are shown. LFP simulations for the moderate (RCP4.5, blue) and high (RCP8.5, tan) emission climate change scenarios are compared here. Meaning of boxplot elements: central line: median, box limits: upper and lower quartiles, upper whisker: min(max(x), Q3 + 1.5 × IQR), lower whisker: max(min(x), Q1 − 1.5 × IQR), black dots: outliers.
