Fig. 2: Actual rainfall and preconditioning soil moisture over the South–Eastern Alpine forelands.
From: A severe landslide event in the Alpine foreland under possible future climate and land-use changes
a Maximum 5-day aggregated rainfall ending between 22 and 26 June 2009, and b maximum 3-h rainfall between 22 and 26 June 2009 recorded in the INCA data set64. c Hindcast simulation of maximum 2 m-integrated soil moisture on the day prior to the beginning of the corresponding 5-day rainfall aggregation period. Occurrence dates and thus time periods are chosen individually for each grid box (see Methods for the exact trigger definition for calibrating the statistical model using the landslide dates, which can only be derived for locations where landslides have occurred and thus differ slightly from the definition used for these maps). All panels display the domains used to calculate the delta change factors for the corresponding predictor (13.82E–17.31E and 46.16N–48.01N for precipitation; the target region for soil moisture, marked by the black box in a, b, see also Supplementary Fig. 1).
