Fig. 1: Drought probability ratio between the late 20th century and the late 21st century. | Communications Earth & Environment

Fig. 1: Drought probability ratio between the late 20th century and the late 21st century.

From: Sustainable development substantially reduces the risk of future drought impacts

Fig. 1

The ratio of the occurrence probability of moderate (a, d, g, j), severe (b, e, h, k), and extreme (c, f, i, l) droughts for a 12-month scale based on the CMIP6 multi-model median by the late 21st century (2070–2099) under different scenarios to the historical baseline period (1971–2000). Stippling indicates areas where fewer than 72% of models (13 out of the 18 GCMs) agree on the sign of the probability ratio. See Supplementary Fig. 1 for the drought probability ratio of a 3-month scale.

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