Fig. 2: Distribution functions of extreme drought probability based on the CMIP6 multi-model median in the grid cells of hotspot regions for the historical period (1971–2000) and the late 21st century (2070–2099) under different scenarios.
From: Sustainable development substantially reduces the risk of future drought impacts

The results are shown for the annual (12-month) scale for the Mediterranean (a), Amazon (b), Southern Africa (c), and Central America (d). The median probability for the baseline period as the reference is shown by the vertical dashed line. See Supplementary Figs. 3, 4 for the distribution functions of severe and moderate drought probabilities, respectively.