Table 1 Scenarios of national distributions of new manufacturing and new installations of solar PV.
Manufacture | |||
|---|---|---|---|
Shared assumption | M1 - China | M2 - Asia-Pacific | M3 - Europe and North America |
New distributions are established by 2030 and they are held constant at 2030 levels. | 90% of production in each process will be concentrated in China by 2030 following recent trends, with the remaining 10% distributed according to the current (2019) national shares. | 90% of production will relocate to Asian-Pacific countries other than China by 2030, taking advantage of low manufacturing costs and a relatively open international trade environment. Remaining 10% as per M1. | 90% of production will relocate to the 2019 top 5 installing nations in the European Union and North America by 2030, in accordance with strategies to enhance self-sufficiency. Remaining 10% as per M2. |
Installation | |||
|---|---|---|---|
Shared assumption | C1 - Lock in | C2 - Equitable | C3 - Targeted |
Solar PV capacity is set to meet 30% and 40% of global power demand by 2050 and 2060 | New solar installations will lock in the current pattern, the higher the current (2019) solar share meeting its power demand, the higher new solar installations share in each nation’s future power demand. | New solar installations will be balanced across nations so that they will serve the same shares of power consumption of all nations. | New solar installations will be prioritized for countries with the highest emission factors for their power systems. |
