Fig. 5: Workflow for offshore wind turbine risk assessment.
From: Amplified threat of tropical cyclones to US offshore wind energy in a changing climate
This study’s workflow begins with the use of a multimodel ensemble from CMIP6 to simulate global environmental conditions, generating tropical cyclones with RAFT for historical and future periods. The sustained peak intensity of these tropical cyclones is then utilized to apply turbine fragility functions, mapping wind speeds to damage risks associated with wind and wave forcing. This process produces spatial maps of offshore wind turbine risk for both periods, which are subsequently used to assess the projected change in damage likelihood under a high-emissions future climate.
