Table 1 The probability of SLC exceeding a given threshold

From: Calculations of extreme sea level rise scenarios are strongly dependent on ice sheet model resolution

Year

Probability (%) at various resolutions (km)

Threshold (mm)

 

2 km

3 km

4 km

5 km

6 km

7 km

8 km

 

100 years

5.0

2.2

0.1

3.7

7.2

8.2

2.5

107 mm

125 years

5.0

2.5

0.2

6.6

11.2

7.6

7.0

161 mm

150 years

5.0

2.5

0.4

23.5

24.3

20.8

34.2

206 mm

  1. Probabilities are shown as percentages. Here, the mean of the prior distribution is 20 m a−1 and the threshold is picked as the 95th percentile of the 2 km resolution. This table illustrates the overestimation of SLC by coarse resolution runs.
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