Fig. 8: Change in hydrological extreme events with 10 year return period.

a Observed (blue line) and PARMAX(TVAR)-CSD forecasted (orange line) storm index; (b). Relative change in flood recurrence (%) from 1971−2000 period as forecasted for (b). 2011−2040 and (c). 2040−2071 with the CMIP5(E-HYPEcatch) ensemble mean (maps arranged using Climate Explorer; http://climexp.knmi.nl).