Fig. 4: Long-term shoreline projections in response to waves and sea-level rise.
From: Benchmarking shoreline prediction models over multi-decadal timescales
a1–c1 Ensemble of monthly long-term shoreline projections in RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, including only models that account for sea-level impacts. Solid lines are ensemble means while the shaded areas represent the range between minimum and maximum projections. The red dash-dot line marks the position of the present-day dune toe. a2–c2 Model-wise statistics of shoreline projections between 2095 and 2100. Circles represent means while caps indicate the range between temporal minimum and maximum. d Wave and sea-level projections. Solid lines are the 1-year running backwards mean of significant wave \({H}_{s}\), while dashed lines are yearly sea-level rise with respect to mean sea-level recorded between 1995 and 2014. Projection of each individual model can be visualized in the online, interactive version of this plot (https://shoreshop.github.io/ShoreModel_Benchmark/plots.html).
