Fig. 5: Model estimates for the replicate similarity and change in standard deviation.

The mean change in replicate similarity (µ) over time and mean change in standard deviation (σ) (points) and the accompanying 95% credible intervals for each estimate, as inferred using the Bayesian hierarchical model approach, based on a Bray–Curtis and b Sørensen based models. The green area indicates the coordinate space where drift dominates, while the pink areas indicate where selection is dominating. Point colour indicates the disturbance regime and shapes the cultivation period.