Table 1 Description of model parameters: notation, description, unit and value (estimated from data or extracted from the literature).

p_1,i

Number of people over 15 years old in subpopulation i infected during the outbreak (parameter of F_i lognormal distribution)

–

Estimated

p_2,i

Parameter of F_i lognormal distribution (determines the shape of the epidemic curve)

–

Estimated

p_3,i

Parameter of F_i lognormal distribution (determines the shape of the epidemic curve)

–

Estimated

τ

Reporting fraction

–

Estimated

S_0,i

IgG seroprevalence in subpopulation i before the outbreak

–

Estimated

D

Time between infection and IgG detectability

Weeks

Estimated

N_Mayotte

Number of people over 15 years old living in Mayotte

–

144,262¹⁸

N_Central

Number of people over 15 years old living in Central communes of Mayotte

–

68,189¹⁸

N_Outer

Number of people over 15 years old living in Outer communes of Mayotte

–

76,073¹⁸