Table 5 The collision probability, Palermo Scale ("PS”), and Torino Scale ("TS”) calculated using the Monte Carlo (MC) simulation, LOV method, and linearized model are shown below, along with comparison results from NEOCC and Sentry as of February 18, 2025

From: Collision probability analysis of 2024 YR4

 

Collision Probability

TS

PS

Linearized model

0.0175

3.0

−0.68

LOV method

0.0176

3.0

−0.45

MC simulation

0.0184

3.0

−0.70